Astros vs. Angels Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/11/2022

The Houston Astros (89-50) hope to avoid an upset as -244 favorites when they take on Mike Trout (homers in six straight contests) and the Los Angeles Angels (61-78). First pitch is at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday, live from Minute Maid Park. Houston’s Luis Garcia gets the start, and he’ll go against Los Angeles’ Tucker Davidson.

Astros vs. Angels Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Angels

After looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Angels on the moneyline at +199. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Los Angeles Angels (+199) and Over (8)

Astros vs. Angels Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Luis Garcia
• Los Angeles Angels probable starting pitcher: Tucker Davidson
• Game Day: Sunday, September 11, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter Luis Garcia

• The Astros will send Garcia (11-8) to make his 25th start of the season. He is 11-8 with a 3.99 ERA and 139 strikeouts through 135 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Sunday, Sept. 4 against the Los Angeles Angels, the righty went seven innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering three hits.
• The 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.99, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 24 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .225 batting average against him.
• Garcia heads into this game with eight quality starts under his belt this season.
• Garcia will try to build on a 14-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
• The opposing Angels offense has a collective .228 batting average, and is 25th in the league with 1062 total hits and 26th in MLB play with 533 runs scored. It has the 20th-ranked slugging percentage (.384) and ranks 11th in home runs (164) in all of MLB.
• In 18 2/3 innings over three appearances against the Angels this season, Garcia has a 2.41 ERA and a 0.750 WHIP while his opponents are batting .127.

Angels Starter Tucker Davidson

• Davidson (2-5) will take to the mound for the Angels and make his ninth start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up seven earned runs in 6 1/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Houston Astros.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in nine games this season with an ERA of 6.42, a 0.862 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.721.
• In eight starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
• In eight starts this season, Davidson has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 4.2 innings per appearance.
• The Astros have scored 620 runs this season, which ranks 11th in MLB. They have 1128 hits, 16th in baseball, with 178 home runs (fifth in the league).
• This season, the left-hander has pitched against the Astros in one game, and they have gone 7-for-25 with two doubles, two home runs and seven RBI over 6 1/3 innings.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Astros have won 81 out of the 119 games, or 68.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Houston has entered 20 games this season favored by -244 or more and is 13-7 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 70.9% chance of a victory for the Astros.
• Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 50 of 140 chances this season.
• The Astros are 74-66-0 against the spread this season.

Angels Betting Picks & Insights

• The Angels have come away with 21 wins in the 67 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Los Angeles has been listed as an underdog of +199 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• The Angels have an implied victory probability of 33.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Los Angeles and their opponents have hit the over in 61 of their 139 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Angels are 65-74-0 against the spread in their 139 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Alex Bregman is batting .266 with 35 doubles, 20 home runs and 78 walks.
• Bregman ranks 49th in home runs and 26th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Yordan Alvarez has shown off his power as he paces his team with 31 home runs with a team-high .290 batting average.
• Alvarez is 10th in homers in the majors, and 17th in RBI.
• Alvarez heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with three doubles and three walks.
• Jose Altuve is batting .284 with 33 doubles, 24 home runs and 57 walks.
• Kyle Tucker has made the most of his opportunities as he paces his team with 88 runs batted in.

Angels Leaders & Batting Stats

• Shohei Ohtani has racked up a team-leading 86 runs batted in.
• Ohtani’s home run total places him sixth in the big leagues, and he ranks 15th in RBI.
• Trout has racked up a team-high 34 home runs.
• Trout is fifth overall in homers and 47th in RBI this season.
• Taylor Ward leads the Angels with a team-high batting average of .266.
• Luis Rengifo has 20 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 14 walks while batting .274.