Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Betting Tips and Predictions

by | Apr 3, 2022

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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Picks & Predictions

A pair of the Eastern Conference’s top squads face one another on Monday, April 4 when the fourth-place Tampa Bay Lightning (43-18-7) host the third-place Toronto Maple Leafs (44-19-5). The oddsmakers have made the Lightning solid favorites at -148 on the moneyline, and the Maple Leafs are at +120. Find more below on the Lightning vs. Maple Leafs betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Line

Lightning vs Maple Leafs Betting Information
Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Lightning -148 Maple Leafs +120

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game Info

  • Game Day: Monday, April 4, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Arena: Amalie Arena

Computer Predictions for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

Computer picks for Lightning vs Maple Leafs
Score Prediction
Lightning 4 Maple Leafs 3

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • In 58 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Tampa Bay has won 41 of those matchups.
  • In 40 games with lower than -148 moneyline odds this season, the Lightning have won 29.
  • The moneyline odds say Tampa Bay has a 59.7% chance of winning this game.

    • Tampa Bay Lightning Leaders

  • Steven Stamkos is currently one of Tampa Bay’s top contributors (76 total points), having collected 32 goals and 44 assists.
  • Victor Hedman has 19 goals and 48 assists to total 67 points (1.0 per game).
  • Brayden Point has 27 goals and 27 assists for Tampa Bay.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy has a record of 35-14-4. He has conceded 126 goals (2.4 goals against average) and recorded 1431 saves with a .919 save percentage (11th in the league).

    • Tampa Bay Lightning Season Stats

  • The Lightning net the 10th-most goals in the league, averaging 3.3 per game for a total of 226 this season.
  • On defense, the Lightning are one of the best squads in league play, allowing 187 goals to rank seventh.
  • With a +39 goal differential, they’re ranked eighth-best in the league.
  • The Lightning’s 47 power-play goals they’ve recorded this season (on 212 power-play chances) are the 10th-most in the NHL.
  • The Lightning’s offense has the NHL’s 12th-ranked power-play conversion rate (22.2%).
  • The Lightning have scored a total of six shorthanded goals this season.
  • The Lightning’s penalty-kill percentage (82.5%) is the league’s eighth-best.
  • With a 50.1% faceoff win percentage, the Lightning have the 17th-ranked rate in the NHL.
  • The Lightning connect on 10.9% of their shots, ranking fifth in the league.
  • The Lightning’s players are looking for their first shutout win this season. As a team, they are averaging 25.7 hits and 12.6 blocked shots per game.

    • Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have been an underdog in five games this season, with two upset wins (40.0%).
  • Toronto has played with moneyline odds of +120 or longer twice this season, and split 1-1.
  • The Maple Leafs have a 45.5% chance to win this game (implied from the moneyline).

    • Toronto Maple Leafs Leaders

  • Auston Matthews’ 51 goals and 37 assists in 63 matchups give him 88 points on the season, making him a key part of his team’s offense.
  • Mitchell Marner has made a big impact for Toronto this season with 81 points, thanks to 28 goals and 53 assists.
  • John Tavares has scored 24 goals and contributed 41 assists for Toronto, giving him a point total of 65.
  • Jack Campbell has a record of 25-9-4 in 41 games this season, conceding 104 goals (2.7 goals against average) with 1100 saves and a .914 save percentage, 17th in the league.

    • Toronto Maple Leafs Season Stats

  • The Maple Leafs’ 256 total goals (3.8 per game) are the third-most in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs have given up 206 total goals (3.0 per game) to rank 17th.
  • Their fifth-best goal differential is +50.
  • The Maple Leafs have scored 54 power-play goals this season, which are second-best in the NHL (on 181 power-play chances).
  • The Maple Leafs have a league-leading power-play conversion rate of 29.8%.
  • The Maple Leafs have scored 12 shorthanded goals this season (an NHL high).
  • The 83.9% of opponent power plays the Maple Leafs kill is the fourth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have the NHL’s top faceoff win rate (55.4%).
  • The Maple Leafs are shooting 10.9% (fifth in the league).
  • The Maple Leafs have not had a shutout win yet this season.

    • Lightning and Maple Leafs Injury Report

    Lightning: Ryan McDonagh: Out (Upper-body)

    Maple Leafs: Ondrej Kase: Out (Concussion), Rasmus Sandin: Out (Undisclosed), Ilya Lyubushkin: Day To Day (Head), Jack Campbell: Day To Day (Rib), Petr Mrazek: Out (Groin), Jake Muzzin: Out (Concussion)

    Betting Tips for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

    Our best bet is Lightning on the moneyline at -148 and after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will be under the total of goals.

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