Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators NHL Betting Tips and Predictions

by | Apr 15, 2022

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Maple Leafs vs. Senators Betting Picks & Predictions

Two clubs at opposite ends of the Eastern Conference will meet when the Toronto Maple Leafs (48-20-6, third place) visit the Ottawa Senators (28-40-6, 13th) on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET. The sportsbooks have made the Maple Leafs heavy favorites at -277 on the moneyline, despite being the visitors, and the Senators are at +223. Find more below on the Maple Leafs vs. Senators betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Betting Line

Maple Leafs vs Senators Betting Information
Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Maple Leafs -277 Senators +223

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Game Info

  • Game Day: Saturday, April 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Ottawa, Ontario
  • Arena: Canadian Tire Centre

Computer Predictions for Maple Leafs vs. Senators

Computer picks for Maple Leafs vs Senators
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Senators (+1.5) Under (6.5) Maple Leafs 4 Senators 3

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Betting Trends

  • Toronto has gone 45-22 as the favorite this season.
  • The Maple Leafs have a record of 8-7 this season in games with their moneyline odds shorter than -277.
  • Toronto has a 73.5% chance of winning this game, based on the moneyline odds.

    • Toronto Maple Leafs Leaders

  • One of Toronto’s top offensives player this season is Auston Matthews, who has 101 points (58 goals, 43 assists) and plays an average of 20:29 per game.
  • Mitchell Marner is contributing with 91 points (31 goals, 60 assists).
  • John Tavares has 26 goals and 46 assists for Toronto.
  • Jack Campbell (28-9-5) has a 2.7 goals against average and a .911 save percentage (20th in the league).

    • Toronto Maple Leafs Season Stats

  • The Maple Leafs score the second-most goals in the league, averaging 3.8 per game for a total of 284 this season.
  • The Maple Leafs rank 18th in total goals against, giving up 3.1 goals per game (228 total) in NHL action.
  • With a +56 goal differential, they’re ranked sixth-best in the NHL.
  • The 58 power-play goals the Maple Leafs have scored this season have come on 207 power-play chances, ranking them second-best in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs have a NHL-pacing 28.0% power-play conversion rate this season.
  • The 13 shorthanded goals the Maple Leafs have scored this season are the most in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs’ 83.2% penalty-kill success rate is currently seventh-best in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs’ players win 55.3% of their faceoffs, leading the league.
  • The Maple Leafs convert 11.1% of their shots, ranking third in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs have yet to shut out an opponent this season, averaging 20.9 hits and 11.8 blocked shots per game.

    • Senators vs. Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • The Senators have secured an upset victory in 22, or 35.5%, of the 62 games they have played as an underdog this season.
  • Ottawa is 2-7 when sportsbooks have made them underdogs of +223 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied, based on the moneyline for this matchup, that the Senators have a 31.0% chance to win.

    • Ottawa Senators Leaders

  • Brady Tkachuk’s 27 goals and 32 assists in 71 contests give him 59 points on the season, making him a key part of his team’s offense.
  • Joshua Norris has made a major impact for Ottawa this season with 50 points, thanks to 33 goals and 17 assists.
  • Ottawa’s Tim Stuetzle has 50 points (18 goals, 32 assists) this season.
  • Anton Forsberg has a .919 save percentage (eighth-best in the league), with 1162 total saves, while conceding 103 goals (2.7 goals against average). He has put up a 19-16-3 record between the posts for Ottawa this season.

    • Ottawa Senators Season Stats

  • The Senators have the league’s 26th-ranked scoring offense (199 total goals, 2.7 per game).
  • The Senators’ 237 total goals allowed (3.2 per game) rank 22nd in the NHL.
  • Their 23rd-ranked goal differential is -38.
  • The Senators have put up 45 power-play goals this season (17th in the NHL) on 222 power-play chances.
  • The Senators’ power-play conversion rate (20.3%) ranks 19th in the league.
  • The Senators have scored seven shorthanded goals this season (10th among NHL squads).
  • The 80.4% penalty-kill percentage the Senators have amassed is the league’s 13th-ranked rate.
  • The Senators have the 24th-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL (48%).
  • The Senators’ collective 8.9% shooting percentage ranks 26th in the league.
  • The Senators have not had a shutout win yet this season.

    • Maple Leafs and Senators Injury Report

    Maple Leafs: Ondrej Kase: Out (Concussion), Rasmus Sandin: Out (Undisclosed), Petr Mrazek: Out (Groin)

    Senators: Matt Murray: Out (Neck), Mathieu Joseph: Day To Day (Undisclosed), Shane Pinto: Out (Shoulder), Thomas Chabot: Out For Season (Hand)

    Betting Tips for Maple Leafs vs. Senators

    Our best bet is Maple Leafs on the moneyline at -277 and Senators (+1.5) against the spread after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will stay under the total of 6.5 goals.

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