Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/2/2022

The Arizona Diamondbacks (10-13) will lean on Jordan Luplow, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Miami Marlins (12-9) on Monday at 6:40 PM ET. The Diamondbacks are +124 underdogs for the contest, according to sportsbooks. Miami’s Pablo Lopez and Arizona’s Zac Gallen have been named the starters for this contest.

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Diamondbacks

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+124) and Over (7)

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Pablo López
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Zac Gallen
• Game Day: Monday, May 2, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Marlins Starter Pablo López

• The Marlins are sending Lopez (3-0) to the mound to make his fifth start of the season. He is 3-0 with a .39 ERA and 23 strikeouts through 23 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Wednesday against the Washington Nationals, the righty went six scoreless innings while surrendering three hits.
• In four games this season, the 26-year-old has a .39 ERA and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .160 to opposing batters.
• Lopez is aiming to record his third quality start in a row in this matchup.
• Lopez is looking for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.3 innings per appearance on the mound.
• He will take the hill against a Diamondbacks offense that ranks last in MLB with 132 total hits (on a .181 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .328 (26th in MLB) with 24 total home runs (sixth in MLB).
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 26-year-old ranks first in ERA (.39), fourth in WHIP (.729), and 22nd in K/9 (8.9).

Diamondbacks Starter Zac Gallen

• Gallen (0-0) will take the mound for the Diamondbacks, his fourth start of the season.
• The right-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
• The 26-year-old has pitched to a .60 ERA this season with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.4 walks per nine across three games.
• He has earned a quality start one time in three starts this season.
• Gallen has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Marlins have scored 83 runs this season, which ranks 19th in MLB. They have 165 hits, 18th in baseball, with 18 home runs (19th in the league).

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 10 times this season and won seven of those games.
• Miami has played as a favorite of -144 or more once this season and won that game.
• The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 59%.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in eight of their 21 opportunities.
• The Marlins are 12-9-0 ATS in their 21 games with a spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have come away with 12 wins in the 25 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Arizona has won nine of 19 games when listed as at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 44.6% chance of pulling out a win.
• Arizona and their opponents have gone over in seven of their 25 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Diamondbacks are 15-10-0 against the spread in their 25 games that had a posted line this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Not only does Jazz Chisholm lead the Marlins in hitting with his .310 average, he also is their foremost power hitter with four home runs and 15 RBI.
• Including all MLB hitters, Chisholm ranks 19th in batting average, 49th in on-base percentage, and third in slugging.
• Chisholm carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a triple and two walks.
• Joey Wendle has six doubles, a home run and five walks while hitting .300.
• Wendle is 152nd in home runs in MLB, and 109th in RBI.
• Jesus Sanchez is batting .267 with two doubles, two triples, three home runs and six walks.
• Jorge Soler is hitting .185 with four doubles, three home runs and 11 walks.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Daulton Varsho has a team-leading 10 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Varsho’s home run total ranks 23rd and his RBI tally is 70th.
• Varsho carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .267 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
• Christian Walker has put his power on display as he leads his team with five home runs.
• Walker ranks 14th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 109th in RBI.
• Pavin Smith has put up a team-high batting average of .258.
• Cooper Hummel is batting .171 with a double, two home runs and 11 walks.

Betting Tips for Marlins vs. Diamondbacks

Our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +124 after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 7 runs.