Angels vs. Tigers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/5/2022

by | Sep 5, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Angels vs. Tigers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/5/2022

Harold Castro is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the Detroit Tigers (50-83) as they get set to take on the Los Angeles Angels (58-76) on Monday. The Tigers enter the matchup as +156 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Angel Stadium at 9:38 PM ET. Jose Suarez gets the starting nod for Los Angeles while Tyler Alexander is Detroit’s starter for the contest.

Angels vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Angels vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Angels -186 +156 8.5 -110 -111 -1.5 +112 -133

Computer Predictions for Angels vs. Tigers

Our best bet is the Tigers on the moneyline at +156 after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+156) and Over (8.5)

Angels vs. Tigers Game Info

  • Los Angeles Angels probable starting pitcher: José Suarez
  • Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander
  • Game Day: Monday, September 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:38 PM ET
  • Location: Anaheim, California
  • Stadium: Angel Stadium

Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Suarez Alexander
15 GS 11
5-6 W-L 3-8
4.10 ERA 4.76
79.0 IP 68.0
30 BB 16
77 SO 37

Angels Starter José Suarez

  • The Angels will send Suarez (5-6) to the mound for his 16th start of the season. He is 5-6 with a 4.10 ERA and 77 strikeouts through 79 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Tuesday, the left-hander went 6 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees, giving up two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • The 24-year-old has a 4.10 ERA and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings across 17 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .242 to his opponents.
  • Suarez heads into this outing with two quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Suarez is looking for his seventh straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance on the hill.
  • The opposing Tigers offense has a collective .229 batting average, and is 27th in the league with 1011 total hits and last in MLB play with 439 runs scored. It has the worst slugging percentage (.337) and ranks last in home runs (80) in all of MLB.

Tigers Starter Tyler Alexander

  • The Tigers’ Alexander (3-8) will make his 12th start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 21 games this season with an ERA of 4.76, a 2.312 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.324.
  • He has earned a quality start two times in 11 starts this season.
  • Alexander has made five starts of five or more innings in 11 chances this season, and averages 3.1 frames when he pitches.
  • The Angels have scored 505 runs this season, which ranks 26th in MLB. They are batting .226 for the campaign with 152 home runs, 12th in the league.
  • This season, the left-hander has pitched against the Angels in one game, and they have gone 7-for-24 with a double, a home run and three RBI over six innings.

Angels Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Angels have been favored 69 times and won 38, or 55.1%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 7-7, a 50% win rate, when favored by -186 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Angels have a 65% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 59 of their 134 games with a total.
  • The Angels are 62-72-0 ATS in their 134 games with a spread this season.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Tigers have won in 41, or 36.6%, of the 112 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Detroit has a win-loss record of 13-35 when favored by +156 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 47 of their 135 opportunities.
  • The Tigers are 60-75-0 against the spread in their 135 games that had a posted line this season.

Angels Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Shohei Ohtani is the bat to watch in the Angels lineup, leading the team in batting average (.266), home runs (30), and RBI (82).
  • Ohtani’s home runs rank him ninth in the majors, and he is 14th in RBI.
  • Mike Trout is hitting .270 with 18 doubles, two triples, 29 home runs and 43 walks.
  • Taylor Ward is batting .258 with 14 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 51 walks.
  • Luis Rengifo has 19 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 14 walks while hitting .266.
  • Rengifo has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .222 with a walk.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Shohei Ohtani 129 .266 .358 .522 30 82 127
Mike Trout 94 .270 .362 .589 29 59 92
Taylor Ward 107 .258 .347 .434 17 47 101
Luis Rengifo 99 .266 .298 .423 11 39 98
David Fletcher 46 .279 .316 .382 2 15 46

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Javier Baez leads the lineup with a batting average of .230, and paces the Tigers in home runs, with 12 and runs batted in with 49.
  • Baez ranks 122nd in home runs and 112th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Baez has collected a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .368 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Castro is batting .280 with 19 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 14 walks.
  • Castro is 234th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 174th in RBI.
  • Jeimer Candelario has 12 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
  • Willi Castro is hitting .242 with 16 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 14 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Javier Báez 118 .230 .273 .371 12 49 104
Harold Castro 100 .280 .309 .399 6 39 97
Jeimer Candelario 107 .201 .262 .347 12 42 74
Willi Castro 96 .242 .287 .362 6 26 77
Eric Haase 90 .237 .292 .399 9 35 60

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