Astros vs. Angels Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/3/2022

by | Jul 3, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Astros vs. Angels Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/3/2022

Expect the long ball when Yordan Alvarez (23 HR) and the Houston Astros (50-27) take on Mike Trout (23 HR) and the Los Angeles Angels (37-43) at Minute Maid Park, beginning at 2:10 PM ET. The Astros are -226 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup. Houston’s Framber Valdez and Los Angeles’ Jose Suarez have been named the starters for this contest.

Astros vs. Angels Spread and Betting Line

Astros vs Angels Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Astros -226 +187 8 -103 -116 -1.5 -104 -117

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Angels

We have the Angels on the moneyline at +187 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Los Angeles Angels (+187) and Over (8)

Astros vs. Angels Game Info

  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
  • Los Angeles Angels probable starting pitcher: José Suarez
  • Game Day: Sunday, July 3, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels Pitching Matchup

Valdez Suarez
15 GS 6
8-3 W-L 1-2
2.65 ERA 4.36
95.0 IP 33.0
33 BB 17
80 SO 34

Astros Starter Framber Valdez

  • Valdez (8-3 with a 2.65 ERA and 80 strikeouts in 95 innings pitched) makes the start for the Astros, his 16th of the season.
  • The left-hander’s most recent time out came on Tuesday against the New York Mets, when he threw 8 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing six hits.
  • The 28-year-old has amassed a 2.65 ERA and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 15 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .212 to opposing hitters.
  • Valdez is looking for his 13th straight quality start.
  • Valdez will try to pitch five or more innings for his 13th straight start. He’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing.
  • He will take the mound against an Angels offense that ranks 19th in MLB with 621 total hits (on a .233 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .397 (14th in MLB) with 98 total home runs (eighth in MLB).
  • Valdez has pitched 11 innings, giving up six earned runs on 10 hits while striking out nine against the Angels this season.
  • The 28-year-old ranks 14th in ERA (2.65), 22nd in WHIP (1.116), and 36th in K/9 (7.6) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Angels Starter José Suarez

  • Suarez (1-2) will take to the mound for the Angels and make his seventh start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Seattle Mariners, throwing 6 2/3 innings of relief while giving up one earned run and allowing five hits.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 4.36 and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .278.
  • In six starts this season, Suarez has not yet earned a quality start.
  • In six starts, Suarez has pitched through or past the fifth inning two times. He has a season average of 4.0 frames per outing.
  • The Astros are batting .239 this season, 17th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .424 (fifth in the league) with 111 home runs.
  • This season, the left-hander has pitched against the Astros in one game, and they have gone 2-for-15 with a double and two RBI over 4 1/3 innings.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Astros have been favorites in 62 games this season and won 43 (69.4%) of those contests.
  • Houston is 8-2 this season when entering a game favored by -226 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Astros have a 69.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Houston’s games have gone over the total in 26 of their 78 chances.
  • In 78 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 42-36-0 ATS.

Angels Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Angels have been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (23.1%) in those games.
  • Los Angeles has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +187.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Angels have a 34.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 36 of their 80 opportunities.
  • The Angels have an against the spread record of 36-44-0 in 80 games with a line this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Not only does Alvarez lead the Astros in hitting with his .311 average, he also paces the squad with 23 home runs and 56 RBI.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Alvarez is second in homers and sixth in RBI.
  • Kyle Tucker is batting .262 with 11 doubles, 16 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Tucker is 19th in homers in the majors, and 10th in RBI.
  • Tucker has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .375 with two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
  • Alex Bregman has 16 doubles, nine home runs and 44 walks while hitting .239.
  • Jose Altuve is batting .273 with 15 doubles, 16 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Altuve is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yordan Alvarez 68 .311 .408 .647 23 56 75
Kyle Tucker 72 .262 .357 .496 16 53 66
Jose Altuve 62 .273 .362 .538 16 27 65
Alex Bregman 75 .239 .353 .402 9 40 63
Yuli Gurriel 71 .225 .280 .391 7 22 58

Angels Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Trout leads the Angels with 23 homers while recording a team-best batting average of .277.
  • Trout ranks second in homers and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Shohei Ohtani has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 50 RBI.
  • Ohtani ranks 13th in home runs and 17th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Taylor Ward is batting .307 with 10 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Jared Walsh is batting .250 with 12 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 14 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Mike Trout 71 .277 .378 .632 23 47 70
Shohei Ohtani 77 .255 .339 .500 18 50 74
Taylor Ward 56 .307 .398 .551 12 32 63
Jared Walsh 76 .250 .293 .446 13 40 70
Brandon Marsh 72 .231 .282 .350 6 31 54

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