Astros vs. Athletics Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/26/2022

The Oakland Athletics (36-63) will look to Tony Kemp, who has blasted homers in two straight games, to pull off an upset win over the Houston Astros (64-33) Tuesday at Oakland Coliseum. The Astros and Jeremy Pena (who has a two-game home run streak of his own) are -171 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 9:40 PM ET. Luis Garcia takes the mound for Houston while Frankie Montas is Oakland’s starter for the contest.

Astros vs. Athletics Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Athletics

Our best bet is the Athletics on the moneyline at +146 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Oakland Athletics (+146) and Over (7)

Astros vs. Athletics Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Luis Garcia
• Oakland Athletics probable starting pitcher: Frankie Montas
• Game Day: Tuesday, July 26, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: Oakland, California
• Stadium: Oakland Coliseum

Houston Astros vs Oakland Athletics Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter Luis Garcia

• Garcia makes the start for the Astros, his 18th of the season. He is 8-5 with a 3.56 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 93 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Thursday, the righty tossed 5 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees, giving up two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
• In 17 games this season, the 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.56, with 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .204 against him.
• Garcia has collected six quality starts this season.
• Garcia will try to prolong a seven-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing).
• He meets an Athletics offense that ranks 29th in the league with 336 runs while batting .214 as a unit. It has a collective .340 slugging percentage (29th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 80 home runs (26th in MLB).

Athletics Starter Frankie Montas

• Montas (3-9) will take to the mound for the Athletics and make his 19th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 3 2/3 innings without allowing a run on two hits in a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
• The 29-year-old has pitched to a 3.07 ERA this season with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.3 walks per nine across 18 games.
• He has earned a quality start 10 times in 18 starts this season.
• In 18 starts this season, Montás has lasted five or more innings 15 times, with an average of 5.2 innings per appearance.
• The Astros have scored 434 runs this season, which ranks 13th in MLB. They are batting .240 for the campaign with 138 home runs, third in the league.
• The Astros have gone 7-for-26 with a home run and two RBI in seven innings this season against the right-hander.
• Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 29-year-old’s 3.07 ERA ranks 23rd, 1.054 WHIP ranks 19th, and 9.5 K/9 ranks 13th.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Astros have won 57 out of the 81 games, or 70.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, Houston has won 22 of its 35 games, or 62.9%, when favored by at least -171 on the moneyline.
• The Astros have a 63.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of their 98 opportunities.
• The Astros have an ATS record of 52-46-0 in 98 games with a spread this season.

Athletics Betting Picks & Insights

• The Athletics have been chosen as underdogs in 84 games this year and have walked away with the win 30 times (35.7%) in those games.
• Oakland has a win-loss record of 18-28 when favored by +146 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Athletics have an implied victory probability of 40.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Oakland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of their 99 opportunities.
• The Athletics have posted a record of 48-51-0 against the spread this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros in home runs (28), runs batted in (65) and has a team-high batting average of .304.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Alvarez ranks third in homers and eighth in RBI.
• Kyle Tucker is batting .249 with 13 doubles, 18 home runs and 43 walks.
• Tucker is 24th in homers and ninth in RBI on the year.
• Tucker has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with a double and an RBI.
• Jose Altuve is hitting .277 with 17 doubles, 19 home runs and 36 walks.
• Altuve will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .304 with two home runs and three RBI.
• Alex Bregman has 22 doubles, 12 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .238.

Athletics Leaders & Batting Stats

• Sean Murphy leads the Athletics with a .245 batting average.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Murphy’s home run total is 83rd and his RBI tally ranks 82nd.
• Murphy takes a hitting streak of five games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with two doubles, two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
• Elvis Andrus is batting .236 with 21 doubles, six home runs and 29 walks.
• Andrus is 186th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 189th in RBI.
• Ramon Laureano is batting .230 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 22 walks.
• Kemp is batting .208 with 12 doubles, four home runs and 27 walks.