Astros vs. Guardians Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/23/2022

by | May 22, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Astros vs. Guardians Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/23/2022

The Cleveland Guardians (17-20) will look to Josh Naylor, with homers in three straight games, to pull off an upset win over the Houston Astros (27-15) Monday at Minute Maid Park. The Astros are -201 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 8:10 PM ET. Luis Garcia will get the ball for Houston while Cleveland counter with Zach Plesac.

Astros vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Astros vs Guardians Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Astros -201 +171 8.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +101 -122

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Guardians

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+171) and Over (8.5)

Astros vs. Guardians Game Info

  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Luis Garcia
  • Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Zach Plesac
  • Game Day: Monday, May 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Garcia Plesac
7 GS 7
3-2 W-L 1-3
3.35 ERA 4.42
37.2 IP 38.2
12 BB 12
41 SO 23

Astros Starter Luis Garcia

  • Garcia makes the start for the Astros, his eighth of the season. He is 3-2 with a 3.35 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 37 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent outing on Wednesday against the Boston Red Sox, the righty threw four innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • In seven games this season, the 25-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.35, with 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .201 against him.
  • Garcia has two quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Garcia has put up five starts this season in which he pitched five or more innings.
  • He will face off against a Guardians offense that ranks 21st in MLB with 308 total hits (on a .246 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .393 (12th in MLB) with 34 total home runs (21st in MLB).

Guardians Starter Zach Plesac

  • Plesac (1-3) will take to the mound for the Guardians and make his eighth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched to a 4.42 ERA this season with 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.8 walks per nine across seven games.
  • He has started seven games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in two of them.
  • Plesac will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • The Astros rank 21st in MLB with a .231 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks fifth in the league (.412) and 57 home runs.
  • Among qualified pitchers this year, the 27-year-old’s 4.42 ERA ranks 51st, 1.345 WHIP ranks 51st, and 5.4 K/9 ranks 55th.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won 23 out of the 32 games, or 71.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Houston is undefeated in four games this season when favored by -201 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 66.8% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 11 of their 42 games with a total.
  • The Astros are 22-20-0 ATS in their 42 games with a spread this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Guardians have been underdogs in 27 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (44.4%) in those contests.
  • Cleveland has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +171 or worse on the moneyline this season.
  • The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 36.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 22 of their 41 opportunities.
  • In 41 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 20-21-0 against the spread.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yordan Alvarez has left the yard 12 times this season, the highest mark on the Astros, while hitting .256 with 24 RBI.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Alvarez is 69th in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage, and seventh in slugging.
  • Alvarez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .294 with a double, a triple, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Kyle Tucker has collected 26 runs batted in to lead his team.
  • Tucker is 31st in homers and 16th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Alex Bregman has 10 doubles, five home runs and 26 walks while batting .229.
  • Jose Altuve is batting .283 with five doubles, nine home runs and 11 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yordan Alvarez 36 .256 .358 .581 12 24 33
Kyle Tucker 41 .245 .343 .434 7 26 35
Alex Bregman 41 .229 .351 .407 5 23 32
Jose Altuve 27 .283 .356 .585 9 14 30
Michael Brantley 36 .283 .365 .420 3 15 39

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jose Ramirez has managed a team-leading nine home runs and has driven in 37 runs.
  • Ramirez is 12th in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Owen Miller is batting .294 to lead the lineup.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Miller ranks 80th in homers and 87th in RBI.
  • Steven Kwan is batting .267 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 17 walks.
  • Myles Straw is batting .246 with eight doubles, a triple and 22 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Ramírez 37 .283 .383 .580 9 37 39
Owen Miller 31 .294 .347 .514 4 17 32
Steven Kwan 30 .267 .373 .371 1 13 28
Myles Straw 37 .246 .346 .319 0 6 34
Josh Naylor 21 .351 .395 .649 6 23 26

Betting Tips for Astros vs. Guardians

Our best bet is the Guardians on the moneyline at +171 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

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