Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/27/2022

The Seattle Mariners (18-27) enter Friday’s matchup with the Houston Astros (29-16) following their 1-2 series defeat to the Athletics. The Astros, coming off of a series win against the Guardians, are listed as -225 favorites for Game 1. The series begins at T-Mobile Park, starting at 9:40 PM ET. Justin Verlander will get the ball for Houston while Seattle counter with Chris Flexen.

Astros vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Mariners

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+185) and Over (7.5)

Astros vs. Mariners Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
• Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Chris Flexen
• Game Day: Friday, May 27, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: Seattle, Washington
• Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter Justin Verlander

• Verlander gets the start for the Astros, his ninth of the season. He is 6-1 with a 1.22 ERA and 49 strikeouts through 51 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Saturday against the Texas Rangers, the right-hander went six scoreless innings while surrendering six hits.
• In eight games this season, the 39-year-old has a 1.22 ERA and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .161 to his opponents.
• Verlander has six quality starts under his belt this year.
• Verlander will try to continue a nine-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per appearance).
• He will face a Mariners offense that ranks 19th in the league with 178 runs while batting .233 as a unit. It has a collective .376 slugging percentage (20th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 47 home runs (10th in MLB).
• Verlander has thrown 14 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on eight hits while striking out 11 against the Mariners this season.
• The 39-year-old’s 1.22 ERA ranks first, .716 WHIP ranks first, and 8.5 K/9 ranks 26th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Mariners Starter Chris Flexen

• The Mariners will hand the ball to Flexen (1-6) for his ninth start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed eight hits in four innings pitched against the Boston Red Sox on Saturday.
• The 27-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 4.98 and 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .278.
• He has earned a quality start three times in eight starts this season.
• Flexen has six starts of five or more innings this season in eight chances. He averages 5.1 innings per outing.
• The Astros have scored 190 runs this season, which ranks 11th in MLB. They are batting .231 for the campaign with 59 home runs, third in the league.
• The right-hander has faced the Astros two times this season, allowing them to go 7-for-38 with a double, two home runs and four RBI in 11 innings.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have been favorites in 35 games this season and won 25 (71.4%) of those contests.
• Houston is undefeated in four games this season when favored by -225 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.2% chance of a victory for the Astros.
• Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 12 of 45 chances this season.
• The Astros have an ATS record of 23-22-0 in 45 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mariners have been victorious in 10, or 32.3%, of the 31 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Seattle has been victorious two times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +185 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 35.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Seattle and their opponents have gone over in 24 of their 45 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Mariners are 21-24-0 against the spread in their 45 games that had a posted line this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 12 home runs.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Alvarez ranks second in home runs and 25th in RBI.
• Alex Bregman has 11 doubles, six home runs and 26 walks while batting .230.
• Of all major league hitters, Bregman ranks 48th in homers and 21st in RBI.
• Bregman has four straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Kyle Tucker has racked up a team-high 29 runs batted in.
• Jose Altuve is batting .288 with six doubles, nine home runs and 11 walks.
• Altuve is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with two doubles, a home run and an RBI.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ty France has posted a team-leading batting average of .331 and leads the Mariners in runs batted in with a mark of 31.
• France ranks 48th in homers and 12th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• France carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .333 with five doubles, a home run, four walks and six RBI.
• Adam Frazier has nine doubles, a triple, two home runs and 17 walks while hitting .256.
• Frazier is currently 202nd in home runs and 111th in RBI in the major leagues.
• J.P. Crawford has eight doubles, a triple, four home runs and 17 walks while hitting .296.
• Eugenio Suarez has swatted a team- leading nine home runs.

Betting Tips for Astros vs. Mariners

We have the Mariners on the moneyline at +185 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.