Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/28/2022

The Houston Astros will look to pick up their 30th win of the season when they take on the Seattle Mariners (19-27) Saturday. The game begins at 10:10 PM ET, with the Astros listed as -125 favorites on the moneyline. Houston’s Jose Urquidy gets the start, and he’ll go against Seattle’s Logan Gilbert.

Astros vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Mariners

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+106) and Over (7.5)

Astros vs. Mariners Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: José Urquidy
• Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
• Game Day: Saturday, May 28, 2022
• Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
• Location: Seattle, Washington
• Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter José Urquidy

• Urquidy gets the start for the Astros, his ninth of the season. He is 4-1 with a 4.24 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 40 1/3 innings pitched.
• The righty last pitched on Sunday against the Texas Rangers, when he went 6 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up six hits.
• The 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.24, with 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in eight games this season. Opponents are hitting .310 against him.
• Urquidy enters the outing with two quality starts under his belt this season.
• Urquidy is seeking his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.0 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Mariners offense has the 18th-ranked slugging percentage (.383) and is 10th in MLB play with 51 home runs. It has a collective .235 batting average, and is 11th in MLB with 360 total hits and 19th in MLB play scoring 184 runs.
• Urquidy has thrown four innings, giving up six earned runs on eight hits while striking out two against the Mariners this season.

Mariners Starter Logan Gilbert

• The Mariners will send Gilbert (4-2) to the mound for his 10th start this season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in seven innings pitched against the Boston Red Sox on Sunday.
• The 25-year-old has an ERA of 2.77, a 3.056 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.096 in nine games this season.
• If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his third quality start in a row.
• Gilbert will look to pitch five or more innings for the 10th start in a row.
• The Astros rank 15th in MLB with 191 runs scored this season. They have a .231 batting average this campaign with 59 home runs (third in the league).
• The 25-year-old ranks 20th in ERA (2.77), 25th in WHIP (1.096), and 19th in K/9 (9.5) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Astros have won 25 out of the 36 games, or 69.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Houston is 20-9 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
• Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 12 of their 46 games with a total this season.
• In 46 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 23-23-0 ATS.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in 32 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (34.4%) in those games.
• This year, Seattle has won eight of 23 games when listed as at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 48.5% chance of walking away with the win.
• Seattle and their opponents have gone over in 24 of their 46 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Mariners have posted a record of 22-24-0 against the spread this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yordan Alvarez’s 12 homers in 2022 are the most on the Astros. He’s also driven in 25 runs while hitting .254.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Alvarez is third in homers and 29th in RBI.
• Alex Bregman is batting .231 with 11 doubles, six home runs and 26 walks.
• Bregman is 49th in home runs and 24th in RBI in the majors.
• Bregman enters this matchup looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Kyle Tucker has racked up a team-best 29 runs batted in.
• Jose Altuve is hitting .285 with six doubles, nine home runs and 11 walks.
• Altuve has recorded at least one hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a home run and an RBI.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ty France paces the Mariners with 32 runs batted in while putting up a team-best batting average of .341.
• Among all hitters in the majors, France’s home run total is 43rd and his RBI tally ranks 11th.
• France has collected a hit in nine games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .400 with five doubles, two home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
• Adam Frazier is hitting .254 with nine doubles, a triple, two home runs and 17 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Frazier is 210th in home runs and 121st in RBI.
• J.P. Crawford is hitting .305 with nine doubles, a triple, four home runs and 19 walks.
• Julio Rodriguez has six doubles, a triple, six home runs and 12 walks while hitting .266.

Betting Tips for Astros vs. Mariners

Our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at +106 after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.