Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/23/2022

by | Jul 23, 2022

The Seattle Mariners (51-43) will look to Ty France, who has blasted homers in two straight games, to pull off an upset win over the Houston Astros (62-32) Saturday at T-Mobile Park. The Astros and Yordan Alvarez (who has a two-game home run streak of his own) are -139 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 4:10 PM ET. Houston’s Justin Verlander gets the start, and he’ll go against Seattle’s Logan Gilbert.

Astros vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Astros vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Astros -139 +118 7 -110 -110 -1.5 +130 -155

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Mariners

Our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at +118 after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+118) and Over (7)

Astros vs. Mariners Game Info

  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
  • Game Day: Saturday, July 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Verlander Gilbert
17 GS 19
12-3 W-L 10-3
1.89 ERA 2.84
109.1 IP 111.0
19 BB 29
108 SO 104

Astros Starter Justin Verlander

  • Verlander makes the start for the Astros, his 18th of the season. He is 12-3 with a 1.89 ERA and 108 strikeouts through 109 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday against the Oakland Athletics, when he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing six hits.
  • The 39-year-old has amassed an ERA of 1.89, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opponents have a .194 batting average against him.
  • Verlander is trying to earn his fifth quality start in a row in this game.
  • Verlander will try to go five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing.
  • He will take the hill against a Mariners offense that ranks 20th in MLB with 742 total hits (on a .236 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .390 (16th in MLB) with 104 total home runs (13th in MLB).
  • In 27 2/3 innings over four appearances against the Mariners this season, Verlander has a 2.93 ERA and a 0.976 WHIP while his opponents are batting .229.
  • The 39-year-old’s 1.89 ERA ranks third, .878 WHIP ranks third, and 8.9 K/9 ranks 22nd among qualifying pitchers this season.

Mariners Starter Logan Gilbert

  • Gilbert (10-3) will take to the mound for the Mariners and make his 20th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers.
  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 2.84, a 3.586 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.153 in 19 games this season.
  • In 19 starts this season, he’s earned eight quality starts.
  • Gilbert has 19 starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Astros are batting .240 this season, 16th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .423 (fifth in the league) with 134 home runs.
  • The Astros have gone 11-for-48 with three doubles and three RBI in two games against the right-hander this season.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 25-year-old’s 2.84 ERA ranks 17th, 1.153 WHIP ranks 32nd, and 8.4 K/9 ranks 32nd.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Astros have been favored 78 times and won 55, or 70.5%, of those games.
  • Houston is 41-16 this season when entering a game favored by -139 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 58.2% chance to win.
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of their 95 games with a total this season.
  • The Astros are 50-45-0 against the spread in their 95 chances this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have won in 25, or 44.6%, of the 56 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This year, Seattle has won seven of 22 games when listed as at least +118 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 45.9% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 44 of their 94 opportunities.
  • The Mariners have posted a record of 50-44-0 against the spread this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Alvarez has racked up a team-high batting average of .310, and paces the Astros in home runs (28) and runs batted in (65).
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Alvarez ranks third in home runs and eighth in RBI.
  • Alvarez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .286 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
  • Kyle Tucker has 12 doubles, 18 home runs and 43 walks while hitting .250.
  • Tucker ranks 22nd in homers in the majors, and 10th in RBI.
  • Alex Bregman has 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 53 walks while batting .245.
  • Bregman has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Jose Altuve has 17 doubles, 18 home runs and 36 walks while batting .276.
Yordan Alvarez 78 .310 .409 .675 28 65 85
Kyle Tucker 88 .250 .339 .462 18 62 78
Alex Bregman 91 .245 .358 .421 12 49 79
Jose Altuve 77 .276 .366 .519 18 34 81
Yuli Gurriel 85 .235 .285 .384 7 26 73

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in home runs (16) and runs batted in (52).
  • In all of the majors, Rodriguez ranks 32nd in home runs and 27th in RBI.
  • France’s .307 batting average leads his team.
  • France is currently 68th in home runs and 36th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • J.P. Crawford is batting .264 with 17 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 33 walks.
  • Eugenio Suarez has swatted a team- leading 16 home runs.
Julio Rodríguez 91 .277 .339 .480 16 52 96
Ty France 80 .307 .376 .476 12 50 98
J.P. Crawford 83 .264 .343 .379 5 25 83
Eugenio Suárez 93 .240 .338 .442 16 51 82
Adam Frazier 92 .237 .296 .311 3 24 80

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