Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/24/2022

by | Jul 24, 2022

Ty France is on the brink of his 99th hit of the season for the Seattle Mariners (51-44) as they get set to take on the Houston Astros (63-32) on Sunday. The Mariners enter the matchup as -101 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from T-Mobile Park at 4:10 PM ET. Houston’s Framber Valdez gets the start, and he’ll go against Seattle’s Robbie Ray.

Astros vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Astros vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Astros -118 -101 7 -119 -102 -1.5 +151 -182

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Mariners

After analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at -101. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (-101) and Over (7)

Astros vs. Mariners Game Info

  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Robbie Ray
  • Game Day: Sunday, July 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Valdez Ray
18 GS 19
8-4 W-L 8-6
2.66 ERA 3.54
115.0 IP 117.0
43 BB 38
102 SO 135

Astros Starter Framber Valdez

  • Valdez (8-4 with a 2.66 ERA and 102 strikeouts in 115 innings pitched) gets the start for the Astros, his 19th of the season.
  • The lefty’s most recent appearance came on Friday, July 15 against the Los Angeles Angels, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • In 18 games this season, the 28-year-old has a 2.66 ERA and 8 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .206 to opposing hitters.
  • Valdez is seeking his 16th straight quality start.
  • Valdez will try to extend a 16-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per appearance).
  • The opposing Mariners offense has a collective .235 batting average, and is 20th in the league with 746 total hits and 23rd in MLB play with 388 runs scored. It has the 16th-ranked slugging percentage (.388) and ranks 13th in home runs (105) in all of MLB.
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 28-year-old ranks 11th in ERA (2.66), 25th in WHIP (1.122), and 34th in K/9 (8).

Mariners Starter Robbie Ray

  • The Mariners will hand the ball to Ray (8-6) for his 20th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, July 16, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up three earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 3.54 and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .211.
  • He’s looking to extend his seven-game quality start streak.
  • Ray will look to pitch five or more innings for the 20th start in a row.
  • The Astros have scored 421 runs this season, which ranks 13th in MLB. They have 754 hits, 17th in baseball, with 134 home runs (third in the league).
  • The Astros have gone 8-for-22 with a double, three home runs and three RBI in one game against the left-hander this season.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 30-year-old’s 3.54 ERA ranks 34th, 1.094 WHIP ranks 22nd, and 10.4 K/9 ranks seventh.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Astros have been favorites in 79 games this season and won 56 (70.9%) of those contests.
  • Houston is 53-21 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Astros have a 54.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Houston’s games have gone over the total in 33 of their 96 chances.
  • The Astros are 51-45-0 ATS in their 96 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have been underdogs in 57 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (43.9%) in those contests.
  • Seattle has a mark of 19-27 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of their 95 opportunities.
  • The Mariners have posted a record of 50-45-0 against the spread this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yordan Alvarez’s 28 long balls and 65 RBI both lead the Astros, on top of his team-high .307 average.
  • Alvarez ranks third in home runs and eighth in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Kyle Tucker is batting .250 with 13 doubles, 18 home runs and 43 walks.
  • Tucker ranks 22nd in home runs and ninth in RBI on the season.
  • Alex Bregman is batting .242 with 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 53 walks.
  • Jose Altuve is hitting .276 with 17 doubles, 18 home runs and 36 walks.
  • Altuve has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with a home run and an RBI.
Yordan Alvarez 79 .307 .407 .668 28 65 85
Kyle Tucker 89 .250 .338 .462 18 63 79
Alex Bregman 92 .242 .354 .416 12 49 79
Jose Altuve 78 .276 .365 .515 18 34 82
Yuli Gurriel 86 .236 .285 .385 7 27 74

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in home runs (16) and runs batted in (52).
  • In all of the majors, Rodriguez ranks 32nd in homers and 27th in RBI.
  • France’s .304 batting average paces his team.
  • France is currently 68th in home runs and 37th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • J.P. Crawford is batting .264 with 17 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 33 walks.
  • Eugenio Suarez leads the Mariners with 16 long balls.
Julio Rodríguez 91 .277 .339 .480 16 52 96
Ty France 81 .304 .375 .472 12 50 98
J.P. Crawford 84 .264 .342 .377 5 25 84
Eugenio Suárez 94 .238 .337 .438 16 51 82
Adam Frazier 93 .240 .299 .313 3 24 82

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