Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/28/2022

Yordan Alvarez, batting .309 this season, leads the Houston Astros (64-35) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Ty France (.309 AVG) and the Seattle Mariners (54-45). Alvarez and the Astros are -140 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Minute Maid Park, beginning at 8:10 PM ET. Houston’s Jose Urquidy and Seattle’s Logan Gilbert have been named the starters for this contest.

Astros vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Mariners

After digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at +119. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+119) and Over (8)

Astros vs. Mariners Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: José Urquidy
• Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
• Game Day: Thursday, July 28, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter José Urquidy

• Urquidy will try to earn his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Astros, his 19th of the season. He is 9-4 with a 3.93 ERA and 77 strikeouts through 100 2/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Saturday against the Seattle Mariners, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
• In 18 games this season, the 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.93, with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .258 against him.
• Urquidy is trying to register his eighth quality start in a row in this game.
• Urquidy will try to last five or more innings for his eighth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
• The opposing Mariners offense has a collective .236 batting average, and is 22nd in the league with 777 total hits and 23rd in MLB play with 406 runs scored. It has the 16th-ranked slugging percentage (.389) and ranks 12th in home runs (110) in all of MLB.
• Urquidy has thrown 19 innings, giving up 16 earned runs on 31 hits while striking out 12 against the Mariners this season.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 27-year-old ranks 44th in ERA (3.93), 42nd in WHIP (1.232), and 53rd in K/9 (6.9).

Mariners Starter Logan Gilbert

• The Mariners will send Gilbert (10-4) to the mound for his 21st start this season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Houston Astros.
• The 25-year-old has an ERA of 2.85, a 3.733 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.145 in 20 games this season.
• He has started 20 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in nine of them.
• Gilbert has pitched five or more innings in 20 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Astros rank 13th in MLB with 439 runs scored this season. They have a .239 batting average this campaign with 140 home runs (third in the league).
• The Astros have gone 16-for-69 with six doubles and five RBI in three games against the right-hander this season.
• Among qualified pitchers this season, the 25-year-old’s 2.85 ERA ranks 16th, 1.145 WHIP ranks 30th, and 8.6 K/9 ranks 30th.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have entered the game as favorites 83 times this season and won 57, or 68.7%, of those games.
• Houston has entered 61 games this season favored by -140 or more and is 42-19 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 58.3% chance to win.
• Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 36 of 100 chances this season.
• The Astros are 52-48-0 ATS in their 100 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in 59 games this year and have walked away with the win 26 times (44.1%) in those games.
• This season, Seattle has come away with a win seven times in 22 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of their 99 opportunities.
• In 99 games with a line this season, the Mariners have a mark of 51-48-0 against the spread.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Alvarez leads the Astros with 29 home runs and 67 runs batted in, while putting up a team-high batting average of .309.
• Among all MLB batters, Alvarez is ninth in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
• Alvarez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .308 with a double, two home runs, six walks and four RBI.
• Kyle Tucker is hitting .248 with 13 doubles, 19 home runs and 45 walks.
• Tucker is 21st in homers and ninth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Jose Altuve is hitting .272 with 17 doubles, 19 home runs and 36 walks.
• Alex Bregman is batting .238 with 22 doubles, 12 home runs and 53 walks.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

• Julio Rodriguez paces the Mariners with 18 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 56.
• In all of MLB, Rodriguez ranks 26th in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
• Rodriguez brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a double, three home runs, two walks and 11 RBI.
• France’s .309 batting average leads his team.
• France ranks 60th in homers and 36th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• J.P. Crawford has 18 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 35 walks while batting .267.
• Eugenio Suarez is batting .234 with 19 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 50 walks.