Astros vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/10/2022

The Miami Marlins (25-30) will put their three-game win streak to the test when they visit the Houston Astros (36-21) Friday at 8:10 PM ET. Oddsmakers consider the Astros to be -151 favorites, while the Marlins are +129 underdogs to keep their streak alive. Luis Garcia takes the mound for Houston while Pablo Lopez is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Astros vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+129) and Under (7.5)

Astros vs. Marlins Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Luis Garcia
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Pablo López
• Game Day: Friday, June 10, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter Luis Garcia

• Garcia (3-4) takes the mound for the Astros in his 11th start of the season. He has a 3.07 ERA in 55 2/3 innings pitched, with 53 strikeouts.
• The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Saturday against the Kansas City Royals, when he threw 7 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up four hits.
• The 25-year-old has a 3.07 ERA and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 10 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .199 to opposing hitters.
• Garcia is looking to earn his third straight quality start in this game.
• Garcia is looking for his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the mound.
• He meets a Marlins offense that ranks 16th in the league with 246 runs while batting .246 as a squad. It has a collective .399 slugging percentage (11th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 59 home runs (14th in MLB).

Marlins Starter Pablo López

• The Marlins’ Lopez (4-2) will make his 12th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed four hits in 7 2/3 innings pitched against the San Francisco Giants on Saturday.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 2.32 and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .196 in 11 games this season.
• He has earned a quality start five times in 11 starts this season.
• Lopez has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Astros rank 22nd in MLB with a .234 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks eighth in the league (.404) and 73 home runs.
• The 26-year-old’s 2.32 ERA ranks 10th, .970 WHIP ranks 15th, and 9.1 K/9 ranks 21st among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have won 32, or 68.1%, of the 47 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Houston is 19-8 this season when entering a game favored by -151 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.2% chance of a victory for the Astros.
• Houston’s games have gone over the total in 17 of their 57 chances.
• The Astros are 28-29-0 against the spread in their 57 chances this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 28 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (32.1%) in those games.
• This season, Miami has been victorious one time in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or longer on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 43.7% chance of pulling out a win.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 28 of their 55 opportunities.
• The Marlins are 28-27-0 against the spread in their 55 games that had a posted line this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yordan Alvarez is the bat to watch in the Astros lineup, leading the team in batting average (.299), home runs (17), and RBI (38).
• Among all MLB hitters, Alvarez ranks 18th in batting average, eighth in on-base percentage, and third in slugging.
• Alvarez takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .471 with a double, a triple, two home runs, four walks and five RBI.
• Kyle Tucker has seven doubles, 10 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .261.
• Tucker ranks 28th in home runs in baseball, and 20th in RBI.
• Tucker carries an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .353 with a double, three home runs, seven walks and eight RBI.
• Alex Bregman has 12 doubles, six home runs and 33 walks while hitting .220.
• Bregman will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a double and three walks.
• Jose Altuve has eight doubles, 11 home runs and 17 walks while hitting .280.
• Altuve has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jazz Chisholm has a team-leading 37 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Chisholm’s home run total is 28th and his RBI tally ranks 15th.
• Jorge Soler’s 12 home runs are a team-high total.
• Soler is 16th in homers and 49th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Garrett Cooper has accumulated a team-high batting average of .319.
• Jesus Sanchez has seven doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 10 walks while batting .235.

Betting Tips for Astros vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +129 after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will under the total of 7.5 runs.