Astros vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/12/2022

The Miami Marlins (27-30) hope to complete a three-game sweep of the Houston Astros (36-23) when the teams meet at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday. The Astros are -226 favorites to prevent the Marlins from completing the sweep. Justin Verlander takes the mound for Houston while Edward Cabrera is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Astros vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+186) and Over (7.5)

Astros vs. Marlins Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera
• Game Day: Sunday, June 12, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter Justin Verlander

• The Astros will send Verlander (7-2) to the mound to make his 12th start of the season. He is 7-2 with a 2.13 ERA and 73 strikeouts in 71 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Wednesday against the Seattle Mariners, the right-hander tossed 7 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering six hits.
• The 39-year-old has an ERA of 2.13, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 11 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .183 batting average against him.
• Verlander is trying to claim his third straight quality start in this outing.
• Verlander will look to last five or more innings for his 12th straight start. He’s averaging 6.2 frames per outing.
• He will face a Marlins offense that ranks 14th in the league with 258 runs while batting .245 as a squad. It has a collective .398 slugging percentage (12th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 63 home runs (13th in MLB).
• The 39-year-old ranks seventh in ERA (2.13), first in WHIP (.837), and 25th in K/9 (9.2) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Marlins Starter Edward Cabrera

• The Marlins’ Cabrera will make his third start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Washington Nationals, throwing 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run.
• He has pitched in two games this season with an ERA of .75, a 2.167 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .750.
• He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
• Cabrera has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Astros are batting .235 this season, 22nd in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .406 (eighth in the league) with 75 home runs.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Astros have been favored 49 times and won 32, or 65.3%, of those games.
• Houston has a record of 7-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -226 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 69.3% chance of a victory for the Astros.
• Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 18 of their 59 opportunities.
• The Astros are 28-31-0 against the spread in their 59 chances this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been victorious in 11, or 36.7%, of the 30 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Miami has been listed as an underdog of +186 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 35% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Miami’s games have gone over the total in 29 of their 57 opportunities.
• The Marlins have an against the spread record of 30-27-0 in 57 games with a line this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yordan Alvarez’s 17 long balls and 39 RBI both lead the Astros, on top of his team-high .302 average.
• In all of MLB, Alvarez is second in home runs and 12th in RBI.
• Kyle Tucker is hitting .261 with eight doubles, 11 home runs and 30 walks.
• Of all major league hitters, Tucker ranks 27th in homers and 19th in RBI.
• Tucker carries a 10-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 games he is batting .371 with two doubles, three home runs, seven walks and seven RBI.
• Alex Bregman has 13 doubles, six home runs and 33 walks while batting .220.
• Bregman will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double and three walks.
• Jose Altuve is batting .270 with nine doubles, 11 home runs and 17 walks.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins in home runs (12) and runs batted in (40).
• Among all hitters in the majors, Chisholm’s home run total ranks 17th and his RBI tally ranks 10th.
• Jorge Soler has shown off his power as he leads his team with 12 home runs.
• Soler ranks 17th overall in home runs and 60th in RBI this year.
• Jesus Aguilar is batting .252 with 10 doubles, eight home runs and 18 walks.
• Miguel Rojas has four doubles, a triple, four home runs and 13 walks while hitting .212.

Betting Tips for Astros vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +186 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.