Astros vs. Mets Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/22/2022

The Houston Astros (42-25) will look to complete a series sweep as they take a 1-0 lead into their final matchup against the New York Mets (45-25) at 2:10 PM ET Wednesday from Minute Maid Park. The Astros are favored (-135) by oddsmakers. Luis Garcia takes the mound for Houston while Carlos Carrasco is New York’s starter for the contest.

Astros vs. Mets Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Mets

Our computer pick: New York Mets (+114) and Over (8.5)

Astros vs. Mets Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Luis Garcia
• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
• Game Day: Wednesday, June 22, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs New York Mets Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter Luis Garcia

• The Astros are sending Garcia (4-5) to the mound to make his 13th start of the season. He is 4-5 with a 3.41 ERA and 69 strikeouts in 66 innings pitched.
• His most recent time out was on Wednesday against the Texas Rangers, when the righty threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
• The 25-year-old has put up a 3.41 ERA and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings across 12 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .202 to his opponents.
• Garcia has five quality starts under his belt this year.
• Garcia has put up nine starts this season in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He will match up with a Mets team that is hitting .260 as a unit (second in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .402 (10th in MLB) with 66 total home runs (17th in MLB).

Mets Starter Carlos Carrasco

• Carrasco (8-2) will take to the mound for the Mets and make his 14th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
• The 35-year-old has pitched to a 3.96 ERA this season with 9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.9 walks per nine across 13 games.
• He has earned a quality start five times in 13 starts this season.
• In 13 starts this season, Carrasco has lasted five or more innings 10 times, with an average of 5.2 innings per appearance.
• The Astros rank 18th in MLB with 289 runs scored this season. They have a .238 batting average this campaign with 90 home runs (third in the league).
• The 35-year-old’s 3.96 ERA ranks 43rd, 1.253 WHIP ranks 39th, and 9 K/9 ranks 20th among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have been favorites in 57 games this season and won 38 (66.7%) of those contests.
• Houston has a record of 30-15, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -135 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 57.4%.
• Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 22 of 67 chances this season.
• The Astros are 32-35-0 ATS in their 67 games with a spread this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 20 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (50%) in those games.
• This season, New York has come away with a win five times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 37 of their 72 opportunities.
• In 70 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 41-29-0 against the spread.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yordan Alvarez paces the Astros in home runs (19), runs batted in (49) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .312.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Alvarez’s home run total ranks him fourth, and his RBI tally ranks him eighth.
• Kyle Tucker is hitting .261 with 10 doubles, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
• Tucker ranks 24th in home runs and 14th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Tucker has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and seven RBI.
• Alex Bregman has 14 doubles, seven home runs and 40 walks while batting .224.
• Bregman will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with a home run, five walks and two RBI.
• Michael Brantley is batting .295 with 13 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 29 walks.
• Brantley has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBI.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 20 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 65.
• In all of the big leagues, Alonso ranks third in homers and first in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .239 with nine doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 27 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Lindor ranks 42nd in homers and fourth in RBI.
• Jeff McNeil paces the Mets’ lineup with a .327 batting average.
• Starling Marte is hitting .273 with 12 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 12 walks.

Betting Tips for Astros vs. Mets

Our best bet is the Mets on the moneyline at +114 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8.5 runs.