Astros vs. Mets Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/29/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Wednesday when the Houston Astros (46-27) and New York Mets (47-28) take to the field at 1:10 PM ET. Yordan Alvarez is batting .321 for the Astros (-126 favorites on the moneyline) while Jeff McNeil leads the underdog Mets (+107) with a .328 average. Houston’s Justin Verlander and New York’s Taijuan Walker have been named the starters for this contest.

Astros vs. Mets Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Mets

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Mets on the moneyline at +107. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: New York Mets (+107) and Over (7.5)

Astros vs. Mets Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
• Game Day: Wednesday, June 29, 2022
• Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

Houston Astros vs New York Mets Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter Justin Verlander

• Verlander aims for his 10th win when he makes the start for the Astros, his 15th of the season. He is 9-3 with a 2.22 ERA and 84 strikeouts in 89 1/3 innings pitched.
• His last appearance was on Friday against the New York Yankees, when the right-hander threw 7 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
• In 14 games this season, the 39-year-old has an ERA of 2.22, with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .192 against him.
• Verlander enters the game with 10 quality starts under his belt this year.
• Verlander enters the matchup with 13 outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
• He will take the hill against a Mets team that is batting .258 as a unit (third in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .401 (13th in MLB) with 71 total home runs (19th in MLB).
• The 39-year-old’s 2.22 ERA ranks sixth, .873 WHIP ranks third, and 8.5 K/9 ranks 27th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Mets Starter Taijuan Walker

• The Mets will hand the ball to Walker (6-2) for his 13th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed eight hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the Miami Marlins on Friday.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.03, a 2.579 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.209 in 12 games this season.
• If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his fourth quality start in a row.
• Walker will look to pitch five or more innings for the 10th start in a row.
• The Astros rank 18th in MLB with 318 runs scored this season. They have a .238 batting average this campaign with 102 home runs (third in the league).

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Astros have been favored 59 times and won 40, or 67.8%, of those games.
• Houston has a record of 33-16 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -126 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 55.8% chance to win.
• Houston’s games have gone over the total in 24 of their 73 chances.
• The Astros are 37-36-0 against the spread in their 73 chances this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have come away with 11 wins in the 23 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• New York has a win-loss record of 7-8 when favored by +107 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 48.3% chance of walking away with the win.
• New York and their opponents have gone over in 40 of their 77 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Mets are 43-32-0 against the spread in their 75 games that had a posted line this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Alvarez is the bat to watch in the Astros lineup, leading the team in batting average (.321), home runs (23), and RBI (56).
• In all of MLB, Alvarez is second in home runs and fifth in RBI.
• Kyle Tucker is hitting .255 with 11 doubles, 15 home runs and 36 walks.
• Tucker is 19th in homers and 10th in RBI on the season.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .241 with 15 doubles, nine home runs and 44 walks.
• Bregman is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with a double, a home run, four walks and four RBI.
• Jose Altuve has 13 doubles, 15 home runs and 26 walks while batting .272.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has put up a team-leading 22 home runs and has driven in 69 runs.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Alonso is fourth in homers and first in RBI.
• Alonso has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .235 with a double, two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .245 with 11 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 29 walks.
• Lindor is currently 42nd in homers and fifth in RBI in the major leagues.
• Starling Marte is batting .280 with 16 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 13 walks.
• McNeil leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .328.