Astros vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/26/2022

by | Aug 26, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baltimore Orioles 9 Astros vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/26/2022

The Houston Astros (81-45), led by the red-hot Trey Mancini and his two-game homer streak, are -229 favorites to pick up a win over the Baltimore Orioles (65-59) Friday at 8:10 PM ET, live from Minute Maid Park. Lance McCullers Jr. will get the ball for Houston while Baltimore counter with Kyle Bradish.

Astros vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Astros vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Astros -229 +185 8.5 -114 -107 -1.5 -105 -116

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Orioles

We have the Orioles on the moneyline at +185 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+185) and Over (8.5)

Astros vs. Orioles Game Info

  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Lance McCullers Jr.
  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
  • Game Day: Friday, August 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

McCullers Jr. Bradish
2 GS 15
1-1 W-L 1-5
2.45 ERA 6.25
11.0 IP 72.0
7 BB 27
11 SO 73

Astros Starter Lance McCullers Jr.

  • The Astros are sending Lance McCullers Jr. (1-1) to the mound to make his third start of the season.
  • His most recent time out came on Friday against the Atlanta Braves, when the right-hander tossed five innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • Opposing hitters have compiled a batting average of .231 against him this season. He has a 2.45 ERA and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings over his two appearances.
  • McCullers is aiming for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the hill.
  • He will face off against an Orioles offense that ranks 19th in MLB with 993 total hits (on a .238 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .392 (15th in MLB) with 129 total home runs (15th in MLB).

Orioles Starter Kyle Bradish

  • Bradish (1-5) will take the mound for the Orioles, his 16th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed nine hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox.
  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 6.25, a 2.704 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.653 in 15 games this season.
  • In 15 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in two of them.
  • Bradish has seven starts of five or more innings this season in 15 chances. He averages 4.2 innings per outing.
  • The Astros have scored 580 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB. They are batting .246 for the campaign with 170 home runs, fourth in the league.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Astros have been favored 107 times and won 73, or 68.2%, of those games.
  • Houston is 18-6 this season when entering a game favored by -229 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.6% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • Houston’s games have gone over the total in 48 of their 127 chances.
  • The Astros are 68-59-0 against the spread in their 127 chances this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Orioles have come away with 54 wins in the 108 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Baltimore has been victorious five times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +185 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 35.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Baltimore and their opponents have gone over in 57 of their 125 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Orioles have posted a record of 83-42-0 against the spread this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Alex Bregman has 34 doubles, 19 home runs and 67 walks while hitting .267.
  • Of all hitters in MLB, Bregman’s home run total ranks him 42nd, and his RBI tally puts him 17th.
  • Yordan Alvarez has shown his power as he leads his team with 31 home runs with a team-leading .294 batting average.
  • Alvarez is fourth in home runs and 12th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
  • Kyle Tucker has put up a team-best 82 runs batted in.
  • Tucker is on a 15-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .357 with five doubles, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
  • Jose Altuve is hitting .283 with 28 doubles, 21 home runs and 50 walks.
  • Altuve is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .421 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Alex Bregman 121 .267 .370 .477 19 75 116
Yordan Alvarez 107 .294 .398 .601 31 79 109
Kyle Tucker 115 .260 .338 .477 22 82 108
Jose Altuve 108 .283 .372 .507 21 45 115
Yuli Gurriel 114 .248 .296 .378 7 37 105

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with a team-high batting average of .267.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Mullins ranks 127th in home runs and 92nd in RBI.
  • Mullins takes a hitting streak of eight games into this matchup. In his last nine games he is batting .278 with three doubles, a triple, a home run, four walks and an RBI.
  • Anthony Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 22 home runs and 71 RBI.
  • Santander is 29th in homers and 26th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Austin Hays is batting .254 with 29 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Ryan Mountcastle is batting .251 with 24 doubles, 18 home runs and 29 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Cedric Mullins 120 .267 .328 .407 11 49 126
Anthony Santander 116 .260 .337 .457 22 71 114
Austin Hays 112 .254 .312 .428 14 52 107
Ryan Mountcastle 109 .251 .298 .433 18 65 107
Adley Rutschman 76 .256 .364 .447 8 25 68

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