Astros vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/27/2022

by | Aug 27, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baltimore Orioles 9 Astros vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/27/2022

Kyle Tucker will look to extend his 16-game hitting streak when the Houston Astros (81-46) take on the Baltimore Orioles (66-59). The Astros are listed as -181 favorites on the moneyline for the contest, which starts at 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, live from Minute Maid Park. Houston’s Jose Urquidy gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Dean Kremer.

Astros vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Astros vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Astros -181 +153 8 -119 -101 -1.5 +118 -141

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Orioles

We have the Orioles on the moneyline at +153 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+153) and Over (8)

Astros vs. Orioles Game Info

  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: José Urquidy
  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
  • Game Day: Saturday, August 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Urquidy Kremer
23 GS 14
12-4 W-L 5-4
3.63 ERA 3.45
134.0 IP 75.2
28 BB 18
104 SO 59

Astros Starter José Urquidy

  • The Astros are sending Urquidy (12-4) to the mound for his 24th start of the season. He is 12-4 with a 3.63 ERA and 104 strikeouts through 134 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance came on Sunday against the Atlanta Braves, when the right-hander went 7 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • The 27-year-old has put together a 3.63 ERA and 7 strikeouts per nine innings in 23 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .242 to opposing hitters.
  • Urquidy is trying to record his third straight quality start in this outing.
  • Urquidy is seeking his 13th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the hill.
  • The opposing Orioles offense has a collective .238 batting average, and is 19th in the league with 1000 total hits and 16th in MLB action with 534 runs scored. It has the 14th-ranked slugging percentage (.391) and ranks 15th in home runs (130) in all of MLB.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 27-year-old’s 3.63 ERA ranks 36th, 1.134 WHIP ranks 27th, and 7 K/9 ranks 48th.

Orioles Starter Dean Kremer

  • Kremer (5-4) will take the mound for the Orioles, his 15th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Boston Red Sox.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched to a 3.45 ERA this season with 7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.1 walks per nine across 14 games.
  • He has four quality starts in 14 chances this season.
  • Kremer has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Astros rank eighth in MLB with 580 runs scored this season. They have a .246 batting average this campaign with 170 home runs (fourth in the league).

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Astros have entered the game as favorites 108 times this season and won 73, or 67.6%, of those games.
  • Houston has a record of 30-15, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -181 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 64.4% chance to win.
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of their 128 games with a total this season.
  • In 128 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 68-60-0 ATS.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Orioles have been victorious in 55, or 50.5%, of the 109 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Baltimore has won 16 of 39 games when listed as at least +153 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 39.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 57 of their 126 opportunities.
  • The Orioles are 84-42-0 against the spread in their 126 games that had a posted line this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Alex Bregman is hitting .269 with 34 doubles, 19 home runs and 67 walks.
  • Bregman’s home runs place him 42nd in MLB, and he ranks 17th in RBI.
  • Bregman carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .412 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
  • Yordan Alvarez’s 31 home runs and .294 batting average both pace his team.
  • Alvarez ranks fourth in homers and 13th in RBI on the year.
  • Tucker has put up a team-best 82 runs batted in.
  • Tucker has at least one base hit in 16 straight games. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .357 with five doubles, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
  • Jose Altuve is hitting .280 with 28 doubles, 21 home runs and 50 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Alex Bregman 122 .269 .371 .477 19 75 118
Yordan Alvarez 108 .294 .399 .599 31 79 110
Kyle Tucker 116 .260 .338 .475 22 82 109
Jose Altuve 109 .280 .369 .502 21 45 115
Yuli Gurriel 115 .246 .296 .376 7 37 105

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Cedric Mullins paces the Orioles with a team-high batting average of .267.
  • In all of the big leagues, Mullins ranks 126th in home runs and 95th in RBI.
  • Mullins takes a hitting streak of nine games into this game. During his last nine outings he is hitting .306 with three doubles, a triple, a home run, five walks and an RBI.
  • Anthony Santander has hit 22 home runs with 71 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
  • Santander ranks 29th overall in home runs and 26th in RBI this season.
  • Austin Hays is hitting .254 with 29 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has 24 doubles, 18 home runs and 29 walks while batting .248.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Cedric Mullins 121 .267 .328 .405 11 49 127
Anthony Santander 117 .258 .335 .452 22 71 114
Austin Hays 113 .254 .311 .426 14 52 108
Ryan Mountcastle 110 .248 .296 .429 18 65 107
Adley Rutschman 77 .253 .362 .442 8 25 68

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