Astros vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/28/2022

The Baltimore Orioles (67-59) hope to complete a three-game sweep of the Houston Astros (81-47) when the teams meet at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday. The Astros are -269 favorites to prevent the Orioles from completing the sweep. Houston’s Justin Verlander and Baltimore’s Austin Voth have been named the starters for this contest.

Astros vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Orioles

Our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +219 after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+219) and Over (7)

Astros vs. Orioles Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Austin Voth
• Game Day: Sunday, August 28, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter Justin Verlander

• Verlander makes the start for the Astros, his 24th of the season. He is 16-3 with a 1.87 ERA and 148 strikeouts in 149 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s most recent appearance was on Wednesday against the Minnesota Twins, when he threw six scoreless innings without giving up a hit.
• The 39-year-old has an ERA of 1.87, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 23 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .188 batting average against him.
• Verlander is aiming to register his 11th quality start in a row in this outing.
• Verlander will try to build upon an 11-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per appearance).
• The opposing Orioles offense has the 14th-ranked slugging percentage (.392) and ranks 15th in MLB play with 132 home runs. It has a collective .237 batting average, and is 19th in MLB with 1006 total hits and 18th in MLB action scoring 537 runs.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 39-year-old’s 1.87 ERA ranks first, .846 WHIP ranks first, and 8.9 K/9 ranks 19th.

Orioles Starter Austin Voth

• The Orioles’ Voth (4-1) will make his 12th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, giving up two earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 30-year-old has an ERA of 4.73, a 2.955 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.438 in 34 games this season.
• He has earned a quality start one time in 11 starts this season.
• Voth has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Astros have scored 581 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB. They are batting .245 for the campaign with 170 home runs, fourth in the league.
• The right-hander has allowed the Astros to go 3-for-5 with two RBI in one inning this season.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have entered the game as favorites 109 times this season and won 73, or 67%, of those games.
• Houston has entered 12 games this season favored by -269 or more and is 7-5 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 72.9%.
• Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of their 129 opportunities.
• In 129 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 68-61-0 ATS.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have been victorious in 56, or 50.9%, of the 110 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Baltimore has been victorious two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +219 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 31.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Baltimore and their opponents have gone over in 57 of their 127 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Orioles are 85-42-0 against the spread in their 127 games that had a posted line this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Alex Bregman is hitting .268 with 34 doubles, 19 home runs and 67 walks.
• Bregman’s home runs rank him 41st in MLB, and he ranks 17th in RBI.
• Yordan Alvarez has put his power on display as he leads his team with 31 home runs with a team-leading .294 batting average.
• Alvarez is fourth in homers and 12th in RBI in the majors.
• Alvarez enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
• Kyle Tucker has accumulated a team-high 82 runs batted in.
• Jose Altuve is hitting .283 with 29 doubles, 21 home runs and 50 walks.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Anthony Santander has managed a team-leading 23 home runs and has driven in 73 runs.
• Santander is 26th in home runs and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Cedric Mullins has a club-best .267 batting average.
• Mullins is currently 126th in home runs and 95th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Austin Hays is hitting .256 with 29 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 26 walks.
• Ryan Mountcastle has 24 doubles, 18 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .246.