Astros vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/30/2022

The Texas Rangers (58-69) and Corey Seager (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+155) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Houston Astros (82-47) on Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET. Houston’s Framber Valdez gets the start, and he’ll go against Texas’ Dane Dunning.

Astros vs. Rangers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Rangers

After analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Rangers on the moneyline at +155. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Texas Rangers (+155) and Over (7)

Astros vs. Rangers Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
• Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 30, 2022
• Game Time: 8:05 PM ET
• Location: Arlington, Texas
• Stadium: Globe Life Field

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter Framber Valdez

• Valdez (13-4 with a 2.65 ERA and 142 strikeouts in 156 innings pitched) gets the start for the Astros, his 25th of the season.
• His most recent appearance came on Thursday against the Minnesota Twins, when the left-hander threw seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up two hits.
• In 24 games this season, the 28-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.65, with 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .213 against him.
• Valdez is trying to secure his 22nd straight quality start in this game.
• Valdez will look to prolong a 22-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.2 frames per outing).
• The opposing Rangers offense has the 13th-ranked slugging percentage (.401) and ranks eighth in MLB play with 156 home runs. It has a collective .244 batting average, and is 13th in MLB with 1055 total hits and ninth in MLB action scoring 579 runs.
• Valdez has pitched 20 innings, giving up one earned run on 14 hits while striking out 20 against the Rangers this season.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 28-year-old’s 2.65 ERA ranks ninth, 1.128 WHIP ranks 26th, and 8.2 K/9 ranks 29th.

Rangers Starter Dane Dunning

• The Rangers’ Dunning (3-6) will make his 25th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw five innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up four earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 4.19, a 2.24 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.372 in 24 games this season.
• He has started 24 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in 10 of them.
• Dunning has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Astros are batting .245 this season, 13th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .423 (sixth in the league) with 171 home runs.
• The Astros have gone 7-for-41 with three doubles, a home run and two RBI in two games against the right-hander this season.
• Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 27-year-old’s 4.19 ERA ranks 43rd, 1.372 WHIP ranks 48th, and 7.8 K/9 ranks 37th.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have won 74, or 67.3%, of the 110 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Houston is 33-16 this season when entering a game favored by -180 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 64.3% chance of a victory for the Astros.
• Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 48 of 130 chances this season.
• The Astros are 69-61-0 against the spread in their 130 chances this season.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rangers have won in 37, or 48.7%, of the 76 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Texas has been victorious eight times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +155 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 39.2% chance of pulling out a win.
• Texas and their opponents have hit the over in 63 of their 128 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Rangers are 71-57-0 against the spread in their 128 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Alex Bregman is batting .269 with 34 doubles, 20 home runs and 69 walks.
• Including all MLB batters, Bregman ranks 51st in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage, and 24th in slugging.
• Yordan Alvarez has hit 31 home runs while hitting .294. Both pace his team.
• Alvarez ranks fourth in home runs and 13th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Alvarez heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
• Kyle Tucker has put up a team-high 82 runs batted in.
• Jose Altuve is batting .280 with 29 doubles, 21 home runs and 50 walks.

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Seager leads the Rangers with 28 long balls.
• In all of the majors, Seager is ninth in home runs and 32nd in RBI.
• Seager takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, two home runs, four walks and five RBI.
• Marcus Semien is batting .238 with 20 doubles, four triples, 20 home runs and 44 walks.
• Semien is currently 38th in home runs and 41st in RBI in the major leagues.
• Nate Lowe paces the Rangers’ lineup with a .300 batting average.
• Adolis Garcia has collected a team-leading 80 runs batted in.