Astros vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/23/2022

The Houston Astros (78-45) will play the Minnesota Twins (62-58) on Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET. Carlos Correa will be looking for his 99th hit of the season for the underdog Twins (+301) when the game gets underway at Minute Maid Park. Houston’s Justin Verlander gets the start, and he’ll go against Minnesota’s Aaron Sanchez.

Astros vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Twins

Our best bet is the Twins on the moneyline at +301 after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+301) and Over (8)

Astros vs. Twins Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Aaron Sanchez
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 23, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter Justin Verlander

• Verlander makes the start for the Astros, his 23rd of the season. He is 15-3 with a 1.95 ERA and 138 strikeouts in 143 innings pitched.
• The righty’s last time out came on Wednesday against the Chicago White Sox, when he threw 7 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing eight hits.
• In 22 games this season, the 39-year-old has amassed an ERA of 1.95, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .195 against him.
• Verlander is aiming for his 10th straight quality start.
• Verlander is looking for his 10th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.2 innings per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Twins offense has the eighth-ranked slugging percentage (.412) and is ninth in MLB play with 144 home runs. It has a collective .249 batting average, and is 12th in MLB with 1012 total hits and 15th in MLB action scoring 528 runs.
• Verlander has a 0 ERA and a 0.375 WHIP against the Twins this season in eight innings pitched, allowing a .045 batting average over one appearance.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 39-year-old’s 1.95 ERA ranks first, .881 WHIP ranks third, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 26th.

Twins Starter Aaron Sanchez

• The Twins will send Sanchez to the mound for his first start this season.
• The 30-year-old right-hander will make his season debut.
• The Astros rank 13th in MLB with a .245 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks fifth in the league (.424) and 166 home runs.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have won 70, or 67.3%, of the 104 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Houston has not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -386 odds on them winning this game.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 79.4% chance of a victory for the Astros.
• Houston’s games have gone over the total in 47 of their 124 chances.
• The Astros have an ATS record of 65-59-0 in 124 games with a spread this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 47 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (38.3%) in those games.
• Minnesota has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +301.
• The Twins have an implied victory probability of 24.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 55 of their 121 opportunities.
• The Twins have an against the spread record of 58-63-0 in 121 games with a line this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yordan Alvarez paces the Astros with 31 home runs and has put up a team-high batting average of .296.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Alvarez’s home run total places him third, and his RBI tally puts him 11th.
• Alex Bregman has 33 doubles, 18 home runs and 65 walks while batting .261.
• Of all major league hitters, Bregman is 41st in homers and 20th in RBI.
• Kyle Tucker has sent home a team-best 82 runs batted in.
• Tucker is on a 13-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is batting .372 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs, a walk and 12 RBI.
• Jose Altuve has 26 doubles, 20 home runs and 49 walks while batting .275.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez leads the Twins with a team-high batting average of .327.
• In all of MLB, Arraez is 194th in homers and 146th in RBI.
• Jorge Polanco has collected 55 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Polanco ranks 70th in home runs and 66th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 28 long balls.
• Correa has 15 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .269.