Astros vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/24/2022

by | Aug 24, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Astros vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/24/2022

The Houston Astros (79-45) will take on the Minnesota Twins (62-59) on Wednesday at 8:10 PM ET. Carlos Correa will be looking for his 100th hit of the season for the underdog Twins (+190) when the game gets underway at Minute Maid Park. Framber Valdez gets the starting nod for Houston while Dylan Bundy is Minnesota’s starter for the contest.

Astros vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Astros vs Twins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Astros -231 +190 7.5 -116 -104 -1.5 -105 -116

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Twins

Our best bet is the Twins on the moneyline at +190 after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+190) and Over (7.5)

Astros vs. Twins Game Info

  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy
  • Game Day: Wednesday, August 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Valdez Bundy
23 GS 21
12-4 W-L 7-5
2.72 ERA 4.60
149.0 IP 103.2
52 BB 22
134 SO 77

Astros Starter Framber Valdez

  • Valdez (12-4 with a 2.72 ERA and 134 strikeouts in 149 innings pitched) gets the start for the Astros, his 24th of the season.
  • The lefty last appeared on Thursday against the Chicago White Sox, when he went seven innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • The 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.72, with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 23 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .218 batting average against him.
  • Valdez is trying to prolong a 20th-game quality start streak in this game.
  • Valdez is aiming for his 21st straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 innings per appearance on the hill.
  • He will take the hill against a Twins squad that is hitting .249 as a unit (11th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .410 (eighth in MLB) with 144 total home runs (10th in MLB).
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 28-year-old’s 2.72 ERA ranks 10th, 1.141 WHIP ranks 26th, and 8.1 K/9 ranks 33rd.

Twins Starter Dylan Bundy

  • The Twins will send Bundy (7-5) to the mound for his 22nd start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched in 21 games this season with an ERA of 4.60 and 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .259.
  • He has two quality starts in 21 chances this season.
  • Bundy will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • The Astros rank seventh in MLB with 569 runs scored this season. They have a .246 batting average this campaign with 167 home runs (fourth in the league).

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Astros have entered the game as favorites 105 times this season and won 71, or 67.6%, of those games.
  • Houston has entered 21 games this season favored by -231 or more and is 15-6 in those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 69.8% chance to win.
  • Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 47 of 125 chances this season.
  • The Astros are 66-59-0 against the spread in their 125 chances this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 48 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (37.5%) in those games.
  • Minnesota has a win-loss record of 2-2 when favored by +190 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 34.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Minnesota and their opponents have hit the over in 55 of their 122 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 122 games with a line this season, the Twins have a mark of 58-64-0 against the spread.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Alex Bregman is hitting .266 with 33 doubles, 19 home runs and 65 walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Bregman is 55th in batting average, 19th in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging.
  • Yordan Alvarez has shown off his power as he paces his team with 31 home runs with a team-high .296 batting average.
  • Alvarez ranks third in homers and 12th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
  • Alvarez heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with a double, two walks and four RBI.
  • Kyle Tucker has a team-best 82 runs batted in.
  • Tucker has at least one base hit in 14 games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .349 with four doubles, a triple, a home run, a walk and eight RBI.
  • Jose Altuve is hitting .276 with 27 doubles, 20 home runs and 49 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Alex Bregman 119 .266 .368 .476 19 74 114
Yordan Alvarez 105 .296 .398 .605 31 79 108
Kyle Tucker 114 .260 .338 .476 22 82 107
Jose Altuve 106 .276 .365 .494 20 44 110
Yuli Gurriel 112 .248 .297 .380 7 36 103

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Luis Arraez leads the Twins with a team-leading batting average of .324.
  • In all of MLB, Arraez ranks 195th in home runs and 147th in RBI.
  • Jorge Polanco has driven in the most runs for the Twins with 55 runs batted in.
  • Polanco is currently 70th in homers and 69th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Correa is batting .269 with 15 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 46 walks.
  • Gio Urshela is batting .266 with 19 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 24 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 109 .324 .390 .433 7 40 134
Jorge Polanco 100 .236 .344 .401 15 55 86
Carlos Correa 97 .269 .351 .429 14 39 99
Gio Urshela 103 .266 .308 .431 11 49 94
Max Kepler 100 .230 .321 .360 9 42 79

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