Astros vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/25/2022

The Minnesota Twins (62-60) are +156 underdogs for their matchup with the Houston Astros (80-45) on Thursday at 8:10 PM ET. Carlos Correa has 99 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Minute Maid Park. Houston’s Luis Garcia gets the start, and he’ll go against Minnesota’s Chris Archer.

Astros vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Twins

We have the Twins on the moneyline at +156 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+156) and Over (8.5)

Astros vs. Twins Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Luis Garcia
• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Chris Archer
• Game Day: Thursday, August 25, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter Luis Garcia

• Garcia (10-8 with a 4.09 ERA and 127 strikeouts in 123 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Astros, his 23rd of the season.
• The righty last appeared on Thursday against the Chicago White Sox, when he threw five innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up seven hits.
• In 22 games this season, the 25-year-old has an ERA of 4.09, with 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .228 against him.
• Garcia has seven quality starts under his belt this year.
• Garcia is looking for his 12th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the hill.
• He meets a Twins offense that ranks 15th in the league with 533 runs while batting .248 as a squad. It has a collective .409 slugging percentage (eighth in MLB action) and has hit a total of 144 home runs (10th in MLB).
• Garcia has thrown five innings without giving up an earned run on five hits, while striking out nine against the Twins this season.

Twins Starter Chris Archer

• The Twins will send Archer (2-6) to the mound for his 22nd start this season.
• The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in five innings pitched against the Texas Rangers on Saturday.
• The 33-year-old has pitched in 21 games this season with an ERA of 4.02, a 1.81 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.260.
• Archer has not earned a quality start in 21 starts this season.
• Archer has five starts of five or more innings this season in 21 chances. He averages 4.0 innings per outing.
• The Astros have scored 574 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB. They are batting .246 for the campaign with 169 home runs, fourth in the league.
• The Astros have gone 5-for-13 with a home run and four RBI in three innings this season against the right-hander.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Astros have won 72 out of the 106 games, or 67.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Houston has a record of 30-13 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -184 on the moneyline.
• The Astros have a 64.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of their 126 games with a total.
• The Astros are 67-59-0 ATS in their 126 games with a spread this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have been victorious in 18, or 36.7%, of the 49 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Minnesota has won four of 12 games when listed as at least +156 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Twins have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 55 of their 123 opportunities.
• The Twins are 58-65-0 against the spread in their 123 games that had a posted line this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Alex Bregman is hitting .265 with 33 doubles, 19 home runs and 66 walks.
• Of all batters in the majors, Bregman’s home run total places him 42nd, and his RBI tally puts him 17th.
• Yordan Alvarez has hit 31 home runs while batting .297. Both lead his team.
• Alvarez is third in homers and 12th in RBI in the majors.
• Alvarez heads into this matchup looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with two doubles, two walks and three RBI.
• Kyle Tucker has put up a team-high 82 runs batted in.
• Tucker has at least one base hit in 15 games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .357 with five doubles, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
• Jose Altuve has 27 doubles, 21 home runs and 49 walks while hitting .278.
• Altuve takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .325.
• Arraez’s home run total places him 197th in the majors, and he ranks 150th in RBI.
• Jorge Polanco has been productive as he leads his team with 55 RBI.
• Among all MLB hitters, Polanco ranks 70th in home runs and 70th in RBI.
• Correa is batting .267 with 15 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 46 walks.
• Gio Urshela is hitting .266 with 19 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 24 walks.