Astros vs. White Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/16/2022

by | Aug 16, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Astros vs. White Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/16/2022

Two of the league’s best will take to the mound Tuesday when the Houston Astros (75-42) and Chicago White Sox (60-56) square off at 8:10 PM ET. Justin Verlander (1.85 ERA this season) gets the ball for the Astros (-124 favorites on the moneyline), while the underdog White Sox (+105) will turn to Dylan Cease and his 1.96 ERA. Houston sends Verlander (15-3) out for his 22nd start of the season, and Cease (12-5) makes his 24th start this year for Chicago.

Astros vs. White Sox Spread and Betting Line

Astros vs White Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Astros -124 +105 7 -109 -111 -1.5 +143 -172

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. White Sox

Our best bet is the White Sox on the moneyline at +105 after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago White Sox (+105) and Over (7)

Astros vs. White Sox Game Info

  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
  • Chicago White Sox probable starting pitcher: Dylan Cease
  • Game Day: Tuesday, August 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Guaranteed Rate Field

Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox Pitching Matchup

Verlander Cease
21 GS 23
15-3 W-L 12-5
1.85 ERA 1.96
136.0 IP 128.2
24 BB 55
134 SO 174

Astros Starter Justin Verlander

  • The Astros will send Verlander (15-3) to the mound for his 22nd start of the season. He is 15-3 with a 1.85 ERA and 134 strikeouts through 136 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday against the Texas Rangers, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • The 39-year-old has an ERA of 1.85, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 21 games this season. Opponents are batting .190 against him.
  • Verlander is aiming for his ninth straight quality start.
  • Verlander is looking for his ninth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 innings per appearance on the mound.
  • He will face a White Sox offense that ranks 17th in the league with 494 runs while batting .259 as a unit. It has a collective .387 slugging percentage (18th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 101 home runs (25th in MLB).
  • Verlander has thrown 3 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on nine hits while striking out three against the White Sox this season.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 39-year-old’s 1.85 ERA ranks first, .860 WHIP ranks first, and 8.9 K/9 ranks 21st.

White Sox Starter Dylan Cease

  • The White Sox will hand the ball to Cease (12-5) for his 24th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in 23 games this season with an ERA of 1.96 and 12.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .196.
  • He’s looking to extend his five-game quality start streak.
  • Cease has 11 starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Astros have scored 527 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB. They have 945 hits, 15th in baseball, with 159 home runs (third in the league).
  • Among qualified pitchers this season, the 26-year-old’s 1.96 ERA ranks third, 1.142 WHIP ranks 30th, and 12.2 K/9 ranks second.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Astros have won 68, or 67.3%, of the 101 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Houston has a record of 61-29, a 67.8% win rate, when favored by -124 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 55.4% chance to win.
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of their 118 games with a total this season.
  • The Astros are 62-56-0 ATS in their 118 games with a spread this season.

White Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The White Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 42 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (45.2%) in those games.
  • This season, Chicago has come away with a win 16 times in 35 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the White Sox have a 48.8% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Contests with Chicago have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 52 of 121 chances this season.
  • The White Sox have an against the spread record of 54-67-0 in 121 games with a line this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yordan Alvarez supplies the Astros with an injection of both power and average, leading the team in big flies with 31 and hitting at .296. He has also knocked in 75 runs this season.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Alvarez is third in home runs and 10th in RBI.
  • Alex Bregman has 28 doubles, 16 home runs and 64 walks while batting .258.
  • Bregman ranks 49th in homers and 23rd in RBI on the year.
  • Bregman enters this matchup looking for his eighth game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .382 with three doubles, three home runs, seven walks and nine RBI.
  • Kyle Tucker leads the Astros with 76 runs batted in.
  • Tucker is on a seven-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .343 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, three walks and 11 RBI.
  • Jose Altuve has 26 doubles, 19 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .277.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yordan Alvarez 99 .296 .400 .620 31 75 102
Alex Bregman 112 .258 .365 .449 16 65 103
Kyle Tucker 107 .249 .333 .465 21 76 95
Jose Altuve 100 .277 .366 .499 19 41 104
Yuli Gurriel 105 .243 .289 .380 7 32 94

White Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jose Abreu paces the White Sox with 14 home runs and has a team-high batting average of .303.
  • Abreu’s home run total places him 74th in MLB, and he is 50th in RBI.
  • Abreu has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .389 with two walks and an RBI.
  • Andrew Vaughn has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 58 RBI.
  • Vaughn ranks 86th in home runs and 39th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
  • Luis Robert is batting .301 with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 15 walks.
  • A.J. Pollock is hitting .246 with 20 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 23 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Abreu 114 .303 .379 .463 14 56 132
Andrew Vaughn 93 .300 .349 .475 13 58 108
Luis Robert 82 .301 .336 .454 12 56 101
A.J. Pollock 95 .246 .295 .378 7 39 80
Josh Harrison 86 .246 .312 .377 6 22 68

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