Astros vs. White Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/17/2022

by | Aug 17, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Astros vs. White Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/17/2022

The Chicago White Sox (61-56) roll into Wednesday’s matchup with the Houston Astros (75-43) looking to extend a five-game winning streak. The contest starts at 8:10 PM ET with the Astros listed as -148 favorites on the moneyline to stop the White Sox’s streak. Houston’s Framber Valdez gets the start, and he’ll go against Chicago’s Michael Kopech.

Astros vs. White Sox Spread and Betting Line

Astros vs White Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Astros -148 +126 8 -108 -112 -1.5 +113 -135

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. White Sox

Our best bet is the White Sox on the moneyline at +126 after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago White Sox (+126) and Over (8)

Astros vs. White Sox Game Info

  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
  • Chicago White Sox probable starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
  • Game Day: Wednesday, August 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Guaranteed Rate Field

Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox Pitching Matchup

Valdez Kopech
22 GS 21
11-4 W-L 4-8
2.73 ERA 3.18
142.0 IP 104.2
49 BB 51
128 SO 96

Astros Starter Framber Valdez

  • Valdez makes the start for the Astros, his 23rd of the season. He is 11-4 with a 2.73 ERA and 128 strikeouts in 142 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Thursday against the Texas Rangers, the left-hander threw seven scoreless innings while surrendering four hits.
  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 2.73, with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 22 games this season. Opponents are batting .215 against him.
  • Valdez is trying to record his 20th straight quality start in this outing.
  • Valdez will try to continue a 20-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per appearance).
  • The opposing White Sox offense has a collective .260 batting average, and is second in the league with 1053 total hits and 17th in MLB play with 498 runs scored. It has the 18th-ranked slugging percentage (.387) and ranks 25th in home runs (101) in all of MLB.
  • In six innings over one appearance against the White Sox this season, Valdez has a 4.50 ERA and a 1.333 WHIP while his opponents are batting .320.
  • The 28-year-old ranks 11th in ERA (2.73), 26th in WHIP (1.127), and 34th in K/9 (8.1) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

White Sox Starter Michael Kopech

  • Kopech (4-8) will take to the mound for the White Sox and make his 22nd start of the season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run or hit in six innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.18 and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .195 in 21 games this season.
  • He has seven quality starts in 21 chances this season.
  • Kopech has started 21 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 15 times. He averages 4.3 innings per appearance.
  • The Astros have scored 530 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB. They are batting .243 for the campaign with 160 home runs, third in the league.
  • The right-hander has faced the Astros one time this season, allowing them to go 7-for-21 with two home runs and four RBI in five innings.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Astros have entered the game as favorites 102 times this season and won 68, or 66.7%, of those games.
  • Houston has a record of 45-24 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -148 on the moneyline.
  • The Astros have a 59.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of their 119 games with a total.
  • The Astros have an ATS record of 62-57-0 in 119 games with a spread this season.

White Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The White Sox have won in 20, or 46.5%, of the 43 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Chicago has come away with a win eight times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +126 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the White Sox have a 44.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 52 of their 122 opportunities.
  • The White Sox have posted a record of 55-67-0 against the spread this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yordan Alvarez’s .295 average and 31 homers both put him atop the Astros leaderboard this season.
  • In all of MLB, Alvarez ranks third in home runs and 10th in RBI.
  • Alex Bregman is batting .261 with 30 doubles, 16 home runs and 64 walks.
  • Bregman is 49th in homers and 23rd in RBI in the bigs.
  • Bregman has eight games in a row with at least one hit. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .382 with five doubles, three home runs, six walks and 10 RBI.
  • Kyle Tucker has collected a team-high 77 runs batted in.
  • Tucker is on an eight-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .371 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs, three walks and 12 RBI.
  • Jose Altuve has 26 doubles, 20 home runs and 47 walks while hitting .277.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yordan Alvarez 100 .295 .400 .616 31 75 103
Alex Bregman 113 .261 .366 .454 16 66 105
Kyle Tucker 108 .250 .335 .466 21 77 96
Jose Altuve 101 .277 .366 .504 20 42 105
Yuli Gurriel 106 .243 .290 .379 7 32 95

White Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jose Abreu paces the White Sox with 14 home runs and has a team-best batting average of .307.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Abreu’s home run total ranks 75th and his RBI tally is 52nd.
  • Abreu has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .529 with two walks and an RBI.
  • Andrew Vaughn has made the most of his opportunities as he paces his team with 58 runs batted in.
  • Vaughn ranks 87th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 42nd in RBI.
  • Luis Robert has 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 15 walks while batting .301.
  • A.J. Pollock is batting .243 with 20 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 23 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Abreu 115 .307 .382 .466 14 56 135
Andrew Vaughn 94 .297 .345 .470 13 58 108
Luis Robert 82 .301 .336 .454 12 56 101
A.J. Pollock 96 .243 .292 .374 7 39 80
Josh Harrison 87 .250 .315 .379 6 23 70

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