Astros vs. Yankees Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/21/2022

The Houston Astros (59-32) are -125 favorites in a battle of the best of the American League on Thursday, while the first-place New York Yankees (64-28) are listed as underdogs (+108). The game begins at 1:10 PM ET, live from Minute Maid Park. Houston will send Cristian Javier out to start this one, while New York has not yet named a starter.

Astros vs. Yankees Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Yankees

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Yankees on the moneyline at +108. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: New York Yankees (+108) and Over (8)

Astros vs. Yankees Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
• Game Day: Thursday, July 21, 2022
• Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Astros Starter Cristian Javier

• The Astros will send Javier (6-5) to make his 14th start of the season. He is 6-5 with a 3.22 ERA and 112 strikeouts in 78 1/3 innings pitched.
• In 17 games this season, the 25-year-old has amassed a 3.22 ERA and 12.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .185 to opposing hitters.
• Javier enters the outing with four quality starts under his belt this season.
• Javier will try to secure his 10th outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance.
• He will face a Yankees offense that ranks first in the league with 497 runs while batting .244 as a squad. It has a collective .444 slugging percentage (first in MLB action) and has hit a total of 157 home runs (first in MLB).
• Javier has pitched seven innings without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out 13 against the Yankees this season.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have won 52, or 69.3%, of the 75 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Houston has a record of 46-20, a 69.7% win rate, when favored by -125 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Astros.
• Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 32 of 92 chances this season.
• The Astros are 48-44-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• The Yankees have been chosen as underdogs in five games this year and have walked away with the win four times (80%) in those games.
• This season, New York has come away with a win four times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +108 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• New York and their opponents have gone over in 44 of their 92 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Yankees are 44-48-0 against the spread in their 92 games that had a posted line this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Tucker has been the Astros top run producer this season, leading the team with 62 RBI while hitting .252 with 18 home runs.
• Tucker’s home runs rank him 22nd in the majors, and he ranks eighth in RBI.
• Alex Bregman has 20 doubles, 11 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .238.
• Bregman is 77th in home runs and 49th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Jose Altuve is hitting .275 with 17 doubles, 17 home runs and 36 walks.
• Altuve will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with three walks and an RBI.
• Yuli Gurriel has 25 doubles, seven home runs and 19 walks while hitting .238.
• Gurriel is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with a double, a walk and an RBI.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge leads the lineup with a batting average of .284, while pacing the Yankees in home runs, with 33 and runs batted in with 70.
• In all of MLB, Judge ranks first in homers and third in RBI.
• Judge carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with three home runs, three walks and five RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is hitting .221 with 15 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 43 walks.
• Rizzo ranks ninth among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 17th in RBI.
• DJ LeMahieu is batting .282 with 14 doubles, eight home runs and 48 walks.
• Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .233 with six doubles, 24 home runs and 35 walks.