Avalanche vs. Lightning Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks – Stanley Cup Final Game 1
by Clive Jacobs | Jun 13, 2022
The Colorado Avalanche are set for Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final Wednesday against the Tampa Bay Lightning, beginning at 8:00 PM ET. The oddsmakers have made the Avalanche solid favorites at -161 on the moneyline, and the Lightning are at +138. Find more below on the Avalanche vs. Lightning betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.
Avalanche vs. Lightning Spread and Betting Line
Avalanche vs Lightning Betting Information
| Favorite |
Moneyline |
Underdog |
Moneyline |
| Avalanche |
-161 |
Lightning |
+138 |
Avalanche vs. Lightning Game Info
- Game Day: Wednesday, June 15, 2022
- Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Arena: Ball Arena
Computer Predictions for Avalanche vs. Lightning
Computer picks for Avalanche vs Lightning
| ATS |
Over/Under |
Score Prediction |
|
Avalanche (-1.5)
|
Over (6)
|
Avalanche 4 Lightning 2
|
Avalanche vs. Lightning Betting Trends
Through 91 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Colorado has won 67 of those games.
The Avalanche have won 56 of the 73 games they have played with moneyline odds shorter than -161.
The moneyline odds say Colorado has a 61.7% chance of winning this game.
Colorado Avalanche Leaders
Mikko Rantanen has been vital to Colorado this season, with 92 points in 75 games.
Nathan MacKinnon is another top contributor for Colorado with 88 points (1.4 per game), scoring 32 goals and adding 56 assists.
Nazem Kadri has scored 28 goals and added 59 assists through 71 games for Colorado.
Darcy Kuemper has a record of 37-12-4. He has allowed 138 goals (2.54 goals against average) and recorded 1616 saves.
Colorado Avalanche Season Stats
The Avalanche score the fourth-most goals in the NHL, averaging 3.8 per game for a total of 308 this season.
The Avalanche have given up the ninth-fewest goals in NHL play this season, 232 (2.8 per game).
The squad has the league’s fourth-best goal differential at +76 this season.
The 67 power-play goals the Avalanche have scored this season (on 278 power-play chances) lead the league.
The Avalanche’s offense is eighth the league with a 24.1% power-play conversion rate.
The Avalanche’s six shorthanded goals this season rank 17th.
The Avalanche kill 79.7% of their opponent’s power plays, the 15th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the NHL.
The Avalanche’s players win 47.3% of their faceoffs to rank 28th in the NHL.
The Avalanche have a 10.7% shooting percentage as a team, ranking sixth in the NHL.
The Avalanche’s players are still looking for their first shutout win this season. As a team, they are averaging 21.5 hits and 13.2 blocked shots per game.
Lightning vs. Avalanche Betting Trends
The Lightning have been the underdog 22 times this season, and upset their opponent in 11, or 50.0%, of those games.
Tampa Bay has three games this season playing as the underdog by +138 or longer, and is 2-1 in those contests.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies a 42.0% chance for the Lightning to win.
Tampa Bay Lightning Leaders
Steven Stamkos is among the top options on offense for Tampa Bay, with 106 points this season. He has recorded 42 goals and 64 assists in 81 games.
Victor Hedman’s 86 points this season, including 20 goals and 66 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for Tampa Bay.
Nikita Kucherov has scored 25 goals and contributed 44 assists for Tampa Bay, giving him a point total of 69.
Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy is 39-18-5 this season, amassing 1712 saves and allowing 156 goals (2.5 goals against average) with a .916 save percentage (12th in the league).
Tampa Bay Lightning Season Stats
The Lightning have the league’s seventh-best scoring offense (285 total goals, 3.5 per game).
The Lightning have allowed 2.8 goals per game, 228 total, the sixth-fewest among league teams.
Their +57 goal differential is seventh-best in the league.
The Lightning have scored 63 power-play goals this season, which are fourth-best in the NHL (on 260 power-play chances).
The Lightning’s power-play conversion rate (24.2%) is seventh-best in the league.
The Lightning have recorded seven shorthanded goals.
The Lightning’s ninth-best penalty kill rate is 81.4%.
The Lightning win 50.1% of their faceoffs. That’s the 15th-ranked rate in the NHL.
The Lightning’s collective 11.3% shooting percentage ranks third in the league.
The Lightning have not had a shutout victory yet this season.
Avalanche and Lightning Injury Report
Avalanche: Ryan Murray: Out (Hand/Wrist), Nazem Kadri: Out (Undisclosed), Samuel Girard: Out For Season (Sternum)
Lightning: Brayden Point: Out (Leg)
Betting Tips for Avalanche vs. Lightning
After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is Avalanche on the moneyline at -161 and against the spread (-1.5). Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 6 goals.
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