Avalanche vs. Lightning Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks – Stanley Cup Final Game 3
by A Aljic | Jun 19, 2022
The Colorado Avalanche visit the Tampa Bay Lightning Monday in Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final, beginning at 8:00 PM ET. The Avalanche have a 2-0 advantage in the series. The Lightning are slight underdogs, at -108, and the Avalanche are -112. Find more below on the Avalanche vs. Lightning betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.
Avalanche vs. Lightning Spread and Betting Line
Avalanche vs Lightning Betting Information
| Favorite |
Moneyline |
Underdog |
Moneyline |
| Avalanche |
-112 |
Lightning |
-108 |
Avalanche vs. Lightning Game Info
- Game Day: Monday, June 20, 2022
- Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Location: Tampa, Florida
- Arena: Amalie Arena
Computer Predictions for Avalanche vs. Lightning
Computer picks for Avalanche vs Lightning
| ATS |
Over/Under |
Score Prediction |
|
Lightning (+1.5)
|
Over (6)
|
Lightning 4 Avalanche 3
|
Avalanche vs. Lightning Betting Trends
In 94 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Colorado has been victorious 70 times.
The Avalanche have a record of 70-24 this season while playing with their moneyline odds shorter than -112.
The moneyline odds say Colorado has a 52.8% chance of winning this game.
Colorado Avalanche Leaders
A top contributor this season for Colorado, Mikko Rantanen has scored 92 points in 75 games (36 goals and 56 assists).
Through 65 games, Nathan MacKinnon has 32 goals and 56 assists.
Nazem Kadri’s 87 points this season have come via 28 goals and 59 assists.
Darcy Kuemper has a record of 37-12-4. He has allowed 138 goals (2.54 goals against average) and recorded 1616 saves.
Colorado Avalanche Season Stats
The Avalanche offense’s 308 total goals (3.8 per game) are ranked fourth in the NHL this year.
On defense, the Avalanche have been one of the best units in NHL competition, conceding 232 goals to rank ninth.
The team’s goal differential is fourth-best in the league at +76.
The NHL-leading 67 power-play goals the Avalanche’s have put up have resulted from 278 power-play chances.
The Avalanche have the league’s eighth-best power-play conversion rate at 24.1%.
The Avalanche’s offense has netted six shorthanded goals this season (17th among all squads).
The Avalanche rank 15th in the league in penalty-kill success rate at 79.7%.
The Avalanche win 47.3% of their faceoffs (28th in the league).
The Avalanche connect on 10.7% of their shots, ranking sixth in the league.
The Avalanche average 21.5 hits and 13.2 blocked shots per game.
Lightning vs. Avalanche Betting Trends
The Lightning have claimed an upset victory in 11, or 44.0%, of the 25 games they have played while the underdog this season.
Tampa Bay has a record of 11-14 in games when sportsbooks list them -108 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline implies a 51.9% chance to win for the Lightning.
Tampa Bay Lightning Leaders
Steven Stamkos’ 42 goals and 64 assists in 81 matchups give him 106 points on the season, making him a key part of his team’s offense.
Victor Hedman’s 86 points this season, including 20 goals and 66 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay’s Nikita Kucherov has 69 points (25 goals, 44 assists) this season.
Andrei Vasilevskiy’s record stands at 39-18-5 on the season, giving up 156 goals (2.5 goals against average) and collecting 1712 saves with a .916 save percentage (12th in the league).
Tampa Bay Lightning Season Stats
The Lightning’s 285 total goals (3.5 per game) are the seventh-most in the league.
The Lightning have been one of the toughest defensive squads in the NHL this season, allowing 228 goals (2.8 per game) to rank sixth.
Their +57 goal differential is seventh-best in the league.
The Lightning have put up 63 power-play goals this season (fourth-most in the NHL) on 260 power-play chances.
The Lightning’s power-play conversion rate (24.2%) is seventh-best in the league.
The Lightning have scored seven shorthanded goals this season (12th in the NHL).
The Lightning’s ninth-best penalty kill rate is 81.4%.
The Lightning have the 15th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL (50.1%).
The Lightning’s collective 11.3% shooting percentage ranks third in the league.
The Lightning have not shut out an opponent this season. They average 25.9 hits and 12.7 blocked shots per game.
Avalanche and Lightning Injury Report
Avalanche: Andrew Cogliano: Day To Day (Finger), Ryan Murray: Out (Hand/Wrist), Nazem Kadri: Out (Undisclosed), Samuel Girard: Out For Season (Sternum)
Lightning: None
Betting Tips for Avalanche vs. Lightning
After digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is Lightning on the moneyline at -108 and Lightning (+1.5) against the spread. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 6 goals.
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