Avalanche vs. Lightning Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks – Stanley Cup Final Game 4

by | Jun 21, 2022

The Colorado Avalanche take the road Wednesday to play the Tampa Bay Lightning for Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final, starting at 8:00 PM ET. The Avalanche lead the series 2-1. Avalanche (-112) versus Lightning (-108) appears pretty close, according to the moneyline odds. Find more below on the Avalanche vs. Lightning betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.

Avalanche vs. Lightning Spread and Betting Line

Avalanche vs Lightning Betting Information
Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Avalanche -112 Lightning -108

Avalanche vs. Lightning Game Info

  • Game Day: Wednesday, June 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Arena: Amalie Arena

Computer Predictions for Avalanche vs. Lightning

Computer picks for Avalanche vs Lightning
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Lightning (+1.5) Over (6) Lightning 4 Avalanche 3

Avalanche vs. Lightning Betting Trends

  • Colorado has gone 70-24 as the oddsmakers’ choice this season.
  • The Avalanche have a record of 70-24 this season while playing with their moneyline odds shorter than -112.
  • The moneyline odds say Colorado has a 52.8% chance of winning this game.
  • Colorado Avalanche Leaders

  • Mikko Rantanen is one of Colorado’s top contributors with 92 points. He has 36 goals and 56 assists this season.
  • Nathan MacKinnon has 88 points (1.4 per game), scoring 32 goals and adding 56 assists.
  • Nazem Kadri has scored 28 goals and added 59 assists through 71 games for Colorado.
  • Darcy Kuemper (37-12-4) has a goals against average of 2.5 on the season, and 1616 saves. His .921 save percentage is fifth-best in the league.
  • Colorado Avalanche Season Stats

  • The Avalanche offense’s 308 total goals (3.8 per game) are ranked fourth in the NHL this year.
  • On defense, the Avalanche are one of the best units in league competition, allowing 232 goals to rank ninth.
  • The team has the league’s fourth-best goal differential at +76 this season.
  • The 67 power-play goals the Avalanche have put up this season (on 278 power-play chances) lead the NHL.
  • The Avalanche have the league’s eighth-best power-play conversion rate at 24.1%.
  • The Avalanche’s six shorthanded goals this season rank 17th.
  • The Avalanche kill 79.7% of their opponent’s power plays, the 15th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • The Avalanche’s players win 47.3% of their faceoffs to rank 28th in the league.
  • The Avalanche connect on 10.7% of their shots, ranking sixth in the NHL.
  • The Avalanche’s players are looking for their first shutout win this season. As a team, they are averaging 21.5 hits and 13.2 blocked shots per game.
  • Lightning vs. Avalanche Betting Trends

  • The Lightning have been the underdog 25 times this season, and upset their opponent in 11, or 44.0%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has 25 games this season playing as the underdog by -108 or longer, and is 11-14 in those contests.
  • The moneyline implies a 51.9% chance to win for the Lightning.
  • Tampa Bay Lightning Leaders

  • Steven Stamkos has recorded 42 goals (0.5 per game) and dished out 64 assists (0.8 per game), averaging 3.0 shots per game and shooting 17.4%. That makes him among the leaders for Tampa Bay with 106 total points (1.3 per game).
  • Victor Hedman is a top contributor for Tampa Bay, with 86 total points this season. He has scored 20 goals and provided 66 assists in 82 games.
  • Nikita Kucherov has 25 goals and 44 assists, for a season point total of 69.
  • Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy is 39-18-5 this season, compiling 1712 saves and permitting 156 goals (2.5 goals against average) with a .916 save percentage (12th in the league).
  • Tampa Bay Lightning Season Stats

  • The Lightning have scored the seventh-most goals (285 goals, 3.5 per game) in the league.
  • The Lightning have been one of the toughest defensive squads in the NHL this season, conceding 228 goals (2.8 per game) to rank sixth.
  • Their +57 goal differential is seventh-best in the league.
  • The Lightning have put up 63 power-play goals this season (on 260 power-play chances). That’s the fourth-most in the NHL.
  • The Lightning have a 24.2% power-play conversion rate, the NHL’s No. 7 percentage.
  • The Lightning have scored seven shorthanded goals this season (12th among NHL squads).
  • The 81.4% penalty-kill percentage the Lightning have amassed is the league’s ninth-best rate.
  • The Lightning have the 15th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL (50.1%).
  • The 11.3% shooting percentage the Lightning have amassed ranks third in the league.
  • The Lightning have not had a shutout victory yet this season.
  • Avalanche and Lightning Injury Report

    Avalanche: Andre Burakovsky: Day To Day (Undisclosed), Ryan Murray: Out (Hand/Wrist), Nazem Kadri: Out (Undisclosed), Samuel Girard: Out For Season (Sternum)

    Lightning: Brayden Point: Day To Day (Undisclosed)

    Betting Tips for Avalanche vs. Lightning

    Our best bet is Lightning on the moneyline at -108 and Lightning (+1.5) against the spread after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will finish over the total of 6 goals.

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