Avalanche vs. Lightning Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks – Stanley Cup Final Game 5

by | Jun 23, 2022

On Friday the Tampa Bay Lightning go on the road to square off against the Colorado Avalanche in Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final, beginning at 8:00 PM ET. The Avalanche have a 3-1 edge in the series. The sportsbooks have made the Avalanche solid favorites at -177 on the moneyline, and the Lightning are at +149. Find more below on the Avalanche vs. Lightning betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.

Avalanche vs. Lightning Spread and Betting Line

Avalanche vs Lightning Betting Information
Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Avalanche -177 Lightning +149

Avalanche vs. Lightning Game Info

  • Game Day: Friday, June 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Computer Predictions for Avalanche vs. Lightning

Computer picks for Avalanche vs Lightning
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Avalanche (-1.5) Over (6) Avalanche 4 Lightning 2

Avalanche vs. Lightning Betting Trends

  • Through 94 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Colorado has won 70 times.
  • The Avalanche have won 45 of the 60 games they have played with moneyline odds shorter than -177.
  • There is a 63.9% chance that Colorado wins this contest, per the moneyline.
  • Colorado Avalanche Leaders

  • Mikko Rantanen has been a major player for Colorado this season, with 92 points in 75 games.
  • Through 65 games, Nathan MacKinnon has 32 goals and 56 assists.
  • Nazem Kadri’s season total of 87 points has come from 28 goals and 59 assists.
  • Darcy Kuemper has a record of 37-12-4. He has conceded 138 goals (2.5 goals against average) and racked up 1616 saves with a .921 save percentage (fifth-best in the league).
  • Colorado Avalanche Season Stats

  • The Avalanche’s 308 goals this season make them the fourth-best scoring team in the league.
  • The Avalanche are ranked ninth in NHL action for the fewest goals against this season, having conceded 232 total goals (2.8 per game).
  • With a +76 goal differential, they’re ranked fourth-best in the NHL.
  • The 67 power-play goals the Avalanche have put up this season (on 278 power-play chances) lead the league.
  • The Avalanche’s 24.1% power-play conversion rate ranks eighth-best in the NHL this season.
  • The Avalanche’s offense has scored six shorthanded goals this season (17th among all squads).
  • The Avalanche have the league’s 15th-ranked penalty-kill percentage at 79.7%.
  • The Avalanche win 47.3% of their faceoffs (28th in the league).
  • The Avalanche have a 10.7% shooting percentage as a squad, ranking sixth in the NHL.
  • The Avalanche’s players are looking for their first shutout win this season. As a team, they are averaging 21.5 hits and 13.2 blocked shots per game.
  • Lightning vs. Avalanche Betting Trends

  • The Lightning have claimed an upset victory in 11, or 44.0%, of the 25 games they have played as an underdog this season.
  • Tampa Bay has played with moneyline odds of +149 or longer once this season and lost that game.
  • The Lightning have a 40.2% chance to win this game (implied from the moneyline).
  • Tampa Bay Lightning Leaders

  • Steven Stamkos has scored 42 goals (0.5 per game) and collected 64 assists (0.8 per game), taking 3.0 shots per game and shooting 17.4%. That makes him among the leaders for Tampa Bay with 106 total points (1.3 per game).
  • Tampa Bay’s Victor Hedman has racked up 86 total points (1.0 per game), with 20 goals and 66 assists.
  • Nikita Kucherov has scored 25 goals and contributed 44 assists for Tampa Bay, giving him a point total of 69.
  • Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy is 39-18-5 this season, compiling 1712 saves and allowing 156 goals (2.5 goals against average) with a .916 save percentage (12th in the league).
  • Tampa Bay Lightning Season Stats

  • The Lightning have scored the seventh-most goals (285 goals, 3.5 per game) in the NHL.
  • The Lightning have given up 2.8 goals per game, 228 total, the sixth-fewest among NHL teams.
  • They have a +57 goal differential, which is seventh-best in the league.
  • The Lightning have put up 63 power-play goals this season, which are fourth-best in the NHL (on 260 power-play chances).
  • The Lightning’s power-play conversion rate (24.2%) is seventh-best in the league.
  • The Lightning have scored seven shorthanded goals this season (12th among NHL teams).
  • The 81.4% penalty-kill percentage the Lightning have registered is the league’s ninth-best rate.
  • The Lightning have the league’s 15th-ranked faceoff win rate (50.1%).
  • The Lightning are shooting 11.3% (third in the league).
  • The Lightning have not shut out an opponent this season. They average 25.9 hits and 12.7 blocked shots per game.
  • Avalanche and Lightning Injury Report

    Avalanche: Andre Burakovsky: Day To Day (Undisclosed), Ryan Murray: Out (Hand/Wrist), Samuel Girard: Out For Season (Sternum)

    Lightning: Brayden Point: Day To Day (Undisclosed)

    Betting Tips for Avalanche vs. Lightning

    We have the Avalanche predicted as the best bet on the moneyline in this game, and our pick against the spread is the Avalanche (-1.5). Our computer model has the scoring going over the total of 6 goals once the game has been played.

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