Avalanche vs. Lightning Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks – Stanley Cup Final Game 6
by Tom Miller | Jun 25, 2022
The Colorado Avalanche visit the Tampa Bay Lightning Sunday for Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Final, beginning at 8:00 PM ET. The Avalanche hold a 3-2 advantage in the series. The sportsbooks see this as a tight one, with the Avalanche -116 to win on the moneyline, and the Lightning at -104. Find more below on the Avalanche vs. Lightning betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.
Avalanche vs. Lightning Spread and Betting Line
Avalanche vs Lightning Betting Information
| Favorite |
Moneyline |
Underdog |
Moneyline |
| Avalanche |
-116 |
Lightning |
-104 |
Avalanche vs. Lightning Game Info
- Game Day: Sunday, June 26, 2022
- Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Location: Tampa, Florida
- Arena: Amalie Arena
Computer Predictions for Avalanche vs. Lightning
Computer picks for Avalanche vs Lightning
| ATS |
Over/Under |
Score Prediction |
|
Lightning (+1.5)
|
Over (6)
|
Lightning 4 Avalanche 3
|
Avalanche vs. Lightning Betting Trends
Colorado has won 70 of its 95 games as a favorite this season.
The Avalanche have been victorious in 68 of the 93 games they have played with moneyline odds shorter than -116.
There is a 53.7% chance that Colorado wins this game, per the moneyline.
Colorado Avalanche Leaders
Mikko Rantanen is one of Colorado’s leading contributors with 92 points. He has 36 goals and 56 assists this season.
Nathan MacKinnon is contributing with 88 points (32 goals, 56 assists).
Nazem Kadri has 28 goals and 59 assists for Colorado.
Darcy Kuemper (37-12-4) has a 2.5 goals against average and a .921 save percentage (fifth-best in the league).
Colorado Avalanche Season Stats
The Avalanche’s 308 goals this season make them the fourth-best scoring team in the league.
On defense, the Avalanche have been one of the best units in league play, giving up 232 goals to rank ninth.
With a +76 goal differential, they’re ranked fourth-best in the league.
The Avalanche have scored 67 power-play goals this season, leading the NHL (on 278 power-play chances).
The Avalanche’s offense is eighth the league with a 24.1% power-play conversion rate.
The Avalanche have scored a total of six shorthanded goals this season.
The Avalanche have the league’s 15th-ranked penalty-kill percentage at 79.7%.
The Avalanche win 47.3% of their faceoffs (28th in the NHL).
The Avalanche connect on 10.7% of their shots, ranking sixth in the league.
The Avalanche average 21.5 hits and 13.2 blocked shots per game.
Lightning vs. Avalanche Betting Trends
The Lightning have been made the underdog 26 times this season, and upset their opponent 12 times.
Tampa Bay has a record of 12-11 in games when oddsmakers list them -104 or longer on the moneyline.
The win probability for the Lightning, implied from the moneyline, is 51.0%.
Tampa Bay Lightning Leaders
Steven Stamkos is a leading scorer for Tampa Bay, with 106 points this season. He has recorded 42 goals and 64 assists in 81 games.
Victor Hedman’s 86 points this season, including 20 goals and 66 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay’s Nikita Kucherov has 69 points (25 goals, 44 assists) this season.
Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy is 39-18-5 this season, compiling 1712 saves and allowing 156 goals (2.5 goals against average) with a .916 save percentage (12th in the league).
Tampa Bay Lightning Season Stats
The Lightning’s 285 total goals (3.5 per game) are the seventh-most in the league.
The Lightning’s 228 total goals given up (2.8 per game) are the sixth-fewest in the NHL.
Their +57 goal differential is seventh-best in the league.
The Lightning have scored 63 power-play goals this season, which are fourth-best in the NHL (on 260 power-play chances).
The Lightning have the league’s seventh-best power-play conversion rate of 24.2%.
The Lightning have scored seven shorthanded goals this season (12th in the league).
The 81.4% penalty-kill percentage the Lightning have put totgether is the league’s ninth-best rate.
The Lightning have the 15th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL (50.1%).
The 11.3% shooting percentage the Lightning have amassed ranks third in the league.
The Lightning have yet to shut out an opponent this season.
Avalanche and Lightning Injury Report
Avalanche: Andre Burakovsky: Day To Day (Undisclosed), Ryan Murray: Out (Hand/Wrist), Samuel Girard: Out For Season (Sternum)
Lightning: Brayden Point: Day To Day (Undisclosed)
Betting Tips for Avalanche vs. Lightning
We have the Lightning -104 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will finish over the total of 6 goals, with the Lightning (+1.5) covering the spread.
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