Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/27/2022

by | Jul 27, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/27/2022

Tommy Edman is on the brink of his 99th hit of the season for the St. Louis Cardinals (51-47) as they get set to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (54-43) on Wednesday. The Cardinals enter the matchup as +204 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Rogers Centre at 7:07 PM ET. Toronto’s Kevin Gausman gets the start, and he’ll go against St. Louis’ Adam Wainwright.

Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Spread and Betting Line

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -248 +204 8 -116 -104 -1.5 -118 -102

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Cardinals

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Cardinals on the moneyline at +204. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: St. Louis Cardinals (+204) and Under (8)

Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
  • Game Day: Wednesday, July 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Gausman Wainwright
18 GS 19
7-7 W-L 6-8
3.00 ERA 3.40
99.0 IP 116.1
18 BB 34
116 SO 91

Blue Jays Starter Kevin Gausman

  • Gausman gets the start for the Blue Jays, his 19th of the season. He is 7-7 with a 3.00 ERA and 116 strikeouts in 99 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Friday against the Boston Red Sox, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • In 18 games this season, the 31-year-old has a 3.00 ERA and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .278 to opposing batters.
  • Gausman is trying to pick up his 11th quality start of the season.
  • Gausman is aiming for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
  • He meets a Cardinals offense that ranks eighth in the league with 448 runs while batting .251 as a unit. It has a collective .404 slugging percentage (11th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 105 home runs (14th in MLB).
  • In six innings over one appearance against the Cardinals this season, Gausman has a 0 ERA and a 1 WHIP while his opponents are batting .174.
  • The 31-year-old ranks 21st in ERA (3.00), 49th in WHIP (1.293), and seventh in K/9 (10.5) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Cardinals Starter Adam Wainwright

  • Wainwright (6-8) will take to the mound for the Cardinals and make his 20th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up seven earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds.
  • The 40-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 3.40, a 2.676 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.238.
  • In 19 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 10 of them.
  • Wainwright will look to pitch five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
  • The Blue Jays are batting .268 this season, first in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .443 (first in the league) with 127 home runs.
  • Among qualified pitchers this season, the 40-year-old’s 3.40 ERA ranks 31st, 1.238 WHIP ranks 42nd, and 7 K/9 ranks 52nd.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have won 45 out of the 78 games, or 57.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Toronto has a record of 7-7, a 50% win rate, when favored by -248 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 71.3% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
  • Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 54 of their 96 opportunities.
  • In 96 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 43-53-0 ATS.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have been victorious in 21, or 42.9%, of the 49 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Oddsmakers have given St. Louis the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +204 moneyline listed for this contest.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 32.9% chance of walking away with the win.
  • St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 46 of their 99 opportunities.
  • The Cardinals are 52-46-0 against the spread in their 98 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays in home runs (21) and runs batted in (62).
  • Among all MLB hitters, Guerrero is 39th in batting average, 35th in on-base percentage, and 18th in slugging.
  • Guerrero carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .381 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
  • George Springer has 14 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 34 walks while batting .258.
  • Including all major league hitters, Springer is 25th in home runs and 51st in RBI.
  • Springer carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .391 with a home run, two walks and seven RBI.
  • Alejandro Kirk paces the Blue Jays with a .317 batting average.
  • Kirk has at least one base hit in nine games in a row. During his last 10 games he is batting .359 with a double, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
  • Bo Bichette is hitting .259 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 27 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 96 .279 .352 .496 21 62 103
George Springer 85 .258 .336 .481 18 47 83
Alejandro Kirk 86 .317 .394 .491 12 39 89
Bo Bichette 96 .259 .305 .421 14 52 104
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 88 .313 .362 .433 5 41 101

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Edman paces the Cardinals with 35 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .259.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Edman’s home run total is 163rd and his RBI tally ranks 124th.
  • Dylan Carlson has a club-high .259 batting average.
  • Carlson ranks 184th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 181st in RBI.
  • Brendan Donovan is batting .276 with 14 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 35 walks.
  • Tyler O’Neill has six doubles, a triple, five home runs and 18 walks while hitting .233.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Tommy Edman 96 .259 .326 .376 7 35 98
Dylan Carlson 79 .259 .328 .421 6 28 72
Brendan Donovan 73 .276 .391 .373 2 30 63
Tyler O’Neill 52 .233 .295 .352 5 33 45
Albert Pujols 56 .228 .311 .386 6 21 36

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