Blue Jays vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/29/2022

by | Aug 29, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Blue Jays vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/29/2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (68-58) will meet the Chicago Cubs (55-73) on Monday at 7:07 PM ET. Matt Chapman will be looking for his 100th hit of the season for the favored Blue Jays (-239) when the game gets underway at Rogers Centre. Jose Berrios will get the ball for Toronto while Chicago counter with Javier Assad.

Blue Jays vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Blue Jays vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -239 +196 9.5 -104 -117 -1.5 -116 -105

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Cubs

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +196. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+196) and Under (9.5)

Blue Jays vs. Cubs Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: José Berríos
  • Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Javier Assad
  • Game Day: Monday, August 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Berríos Assad
25 GS 1
9-5 W-L 0-0
5.28 ERA 0.00
134.2 IP 4.0
33 BB 4
123 SO 3

Blue Jays Starter José Berríos

  • Berrios will aim to grab his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Blue Jays, his 26th of the season. He is 9-5 with a 5.28 ERA and 123 strikeouts in 134 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Wednesday against the Boston Red Sox, the right-hander tossed 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • The 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.28, with 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 25 games this season. Opponents are hitting .277 against him.
  • Berrios is aiming to notch his third straight quality start in this matchup.
  • Berrios will try to continue a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing).
  • He will face off against a Cubs team that is hitting .240 as a unit (18th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .390 (15th in MLB) with 131 total home runs (16th in MLB).
  • The 28-year-old ranks 55th in ERA (5.28), 48th in WHIP (1.351), and 29th in K/9 (8.2) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Cubs Starter Javier Assad

  • The Cubs’ Assad will make his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 4 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing four hits against the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • He has an ERA of .00, a 0.75 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 2.000 in one games this season.
  • The Blue Jays are batting .261 this season, third in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .427 (fourth in the league) with 153 home runs.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have won 57 out of the 104 games, or 54.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Toronto has a record of 10-11, a 47.6% win rate, when favored by -239 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 70.5% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of their 125 games with a total.
  • In 125 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 53-72-0 ATS.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs have been underdogs in 91 games this season and have come away with the win 38 times (41.8%) in those contests.
  • Chicago has a mark of 1-6 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +196 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 33.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 130 opportunities.
  • The Cubs are 67-63-0 against the spread in their 130 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the Blue Jays best power hitter, hitting 26 round-trippers this season in addition to accumulating 78 RBI, both team highs.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Guerrero is 31st in batting average, 40th in on-base percentage, and 16th in slugging.
  • George Springer has 17 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 41 walks while batting .275.
  • Springer ranks 42nd in home runs in baseball, and 68th in RBI.
  • Springer carries a 12-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .472 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, four walks and eight RBI.
  • Alejandro Kirk leads the Blue Jays with a .296 batting average.
  • Bo Bichette has 31 doubles, 17 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .262.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 125 .280 .347 .496 26 78 137
George Springer 100 .275 .352 .487 19 57 104
Alejandro Kirk 113 .296 .381 .439 12 48 110
Bo Bichette 124 .262 .304 .423 17 66 133
Matt Chapman 120 .236 .316 .462 24 63 99

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ian Happ has driven in a team-best 62 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Happ ranks 71st in home runs and 48th in RBI.
  • Nico Hoerner has a club-high .292 batting average.
  • Hoerner ranks 171st among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 124th in RBI.
  • Willson Contreras has 20 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
  • Seiya Suzuki is batting .252 with 20 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 35 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ian Happ 125 .279 .352 .462 15 62 127
Nico Hoerner 113 .292 .341 .412 8 44 117
Willson Contreras 105 .242 .349 .461 20 52 94
Seiya Suzuki 88 .252 .331 .419 10 40 79
Christopher Morel 84 .249 .313 .442 12 34 75

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