Blue Jays vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/14/2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (61-51) host the Cleveland Guardians (60-53) at 1:37 PM ET Sunday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .303 this year (10th in the league) for the favored Blue Jays (-142), while Andres Gimenez ranks sixth in the majors with a .307 average for the underdog Guardians. Toronto’s Kevin Gausman and Cleveland’s Shane Bieber have been named the starters for this contest.

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Guardians

We have the Guardians on the moneyline at +120 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+120) and Over (7.5)

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Shane Bieber
• Game Day: Sunday, August 14, 2022
• Game Time: 1:37 PM ET
• Location: Toronto, Ontario
• Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Blue Jays Starter Kevin Gausman

• Gausman makes the start for the Blue Jays, his 22nd of the season. He is 8-8 with a 2.91 ERA and 137 strikeouts in 117 2/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s last appearance was on Sunday against the Minnesota Twins, when he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up six hits.
• The 31-year-old has put together a 2.91 ERA and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings across 21 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .270 to opposing hitters.
• Gausman is looking for his third straight quality start.
• Gausman is seeking his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• He will face a Guardians offense that ranks 16th in the league with 489 runs while batting .251 as a squad. It has a collective .384 slugging percentage (19th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 89 home runs (29th in MLB).
• In 6 1/3 innings over one appearance against the Guardians this season, Gausman has a 1.42 ERA and a 1.105 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .250.
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 31-year-old ranks 15th in ERA (2.91), 44th in WHIP (1.232), and sixth in K/9 (10.5).

Guardians Starter Shane Bieber

• The Guardians will hand the ball to Bieber (7-6) for his 22nd start of the season.
• The right-hander did not allow a run in 7 2/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
• The 27-year-old has pitched to a 3.21 ERA this season with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.0 walks per nine across 21 games.
• He’s looking to extend his three-game quality start streak.
• Bieber will look to pitch five or more innings for the 11th start in a row.
• The Blue Jays are batting .263 this season, second in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .435 (fourth in the league) with 145 home runs.
• The right-hander has allowed the Blue Jays to go 8-for-18 with two doubles and seven RBI in 3 1/3 innings this season.
• Among qualified pitchers this season, the 27-year-old’s 3.21 ERA ranks 25th, 1.094 WHIP ranks 22nd, and 9.2 K/9 ranks 15th.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Blue Jays have won 52 out of the 93 games, or 55.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Toronto has a record of 34-22 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -142 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
• Games involving Toronto have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 59 of 111 chances this season.
• The Blue Jays have an ATS record of 48-63-0 in 111 games with a spread this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 66 games this year and have walked away with the win 30 times (45.5%) in those games.
• Cleveland has a mark of 18-23 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +120 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 45.5% chance of pulling out a win.
• Cleveland and their opponents have gone over in 55 of their 121 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 121 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 64-57-0 against the spread.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone yard 23 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 68 runs, both totals that lead the Blue Jays.
• Among all MLB hitters, Guerrero ranks 29th in batting average, 29th in on-base percentage, and 15th in slugging.
• Guerrero carries a 22-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .318 with four doubles, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
• Alejandro Kirk is hitting .300 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 41 walks.
• Kirk is 93rd in home runs and 124th in RBI on the season.
• Bo Bichette has 27 doubles, 17 home runs and 27 walks while batting .260.
• Matt Chapman has put his power on display as he leads his team with 23 home runs.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 22 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 92.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Ramirez ranks 24th in homers and third in RBI.
• Amed Rosario is batting .283 with 21 doubles, six triples, seven home runs and 21 walks.
• Rosario is 182nd overall in homers and 85th in RBI this year.
• Steven Kwan has 18 doubles, four triples, three home runs and 42 walks while batting .296.
• Gimenez leads the Guardians with a .307 batting average.