Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/16/2022

by | Jun 16, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baltimore Orioles 9 Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/16/2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (37-25) will look to Vladimir Guerrero Jr., red hot after a four-hit game, to lead them in a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles (27-37) on Thursday at 3:07 PM ET. The Blue Jays are -260 favorites for the contest, according to oddsmakers. Toronto’s Kevin Gausman and Baltimore’s Tyler Wells have been named the starters for this contest.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Blue Jays vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -260 +214 8.5 -106 -115 -1.5 -121 +100

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Orioles

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+214) and Over (8.5)

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
  • Game Day: Thursday, June 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:07 PM ET
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Gausman Wells
12 GS 12
5-5 W-L 3-4
2.67 ERA 3.86
70.2 IP 53.2
10 BB 11
77 SO 33

Blue Jays Starter Kevin Gausman

  • The Blue Jays will send Gausman (5-5) to the mound for his 13th start of the season. He is 5-5 with a 2.67 ERA and 77 strikeouts through 70 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Detroit Tigers, when the righty threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up six hits.
  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 2.67, with 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 12 games this season. Opponents are batting .265 against him.
  • Gausman is looking to collect his eighth quality start of the year in this outing.
  • Gausman is looking to secure his 12th start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
  • He will face an Orioles offense that ranks 23rd in the league with 259 runs while batting .229 as a squad. It has a collective .378 slugging percentage (21st in MLB play) and has hit a total of 66 home runs (15th in MLB).
  • This season, the 31-year-old ranks 17th in ERA (2.67), 36th in WHIP (1.189), and ninth in K/9 (9.8) among qualifying pitchers.

Orioles Starter Tyler Wells

  • The Orioles will send Wells (3-4) to the mound for his 13th start this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Kansas City Royals.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched to a 3.86 ERA this season with 5.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.8 walks per nine across 12 games.
  • In 12 starts this season, he’s earned three quality starts.
  • In 12 starts this season, Wells has lasted five or more innings six times, with an average of 4.1 innings per appearance.
  • The Blue Jays have scored 286 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB. They have 543 hits, sixth in baseball, with 78 home runs (sixth in the league).

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have won 29 out of the 47 games, or 61.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Toronto has entered five games this season favored by -260 or more and is 4-1 in those contests.
  • The Blue Jays have a 72.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of their 61 games with a total this season.
  • In 61 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 28-33-0 ATS.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Orioles have been victorious in 24, or 40%, of the 60 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Baltimore has been victorious two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +214 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 31.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 30 of their 65 opportunities.
  • The Orioles are 39-26-0 against the spread in their 65 games that had a posted line this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Guerrero has accumulated a team-best 16 home runs and 39 runs batted in.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Guerrero ranks seventh in homers and 20th in RBI.
  • Guerrero has collected a hit in six straight games. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .357 with a double, four home runs, four walks and 10 RBI.
  • George Springer is batting .271 with 11 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 20 walks.
  • Springer is 25th in homers and 42nd in RBI in the majors.
  • Bo Bichette is batting .260 with 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 17 walks.
  • Santiago Espinal has 18 doubles, five home runs and 18 walks while batting .298.
  • Espinal is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with two doubles, a walk and three RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 61 .271 .355 .511 16 39 62
George Springer 58 .271 .340 .505 12 33 59
Bo Bichette 62 .260 .305 .431 10 33 68
Santiago Espinal 62 .298 .350 .451 5 31 64
Alejandro Kirk 54 .311 .391 .461 5 20 52

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Austin Hays has recorded a team-best 36 runs batted in.
  • Hays ranks 57th in home runs and 29th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
  • Hays has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a home run and five RBI.
  • Cedric Mullins is batting .243 with 15 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 17 walks.
  • Mullins is 105th in home runs and 108th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Trey Mancini leads the Orioles’ lineup with a .290 batting average.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has put up a team-high 12 home runs.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Austin Hays 58 .287 .350 .462 8 36 64
Cedric Mullins 63 .243 .302 .380 6 25 62
Trey Mancini 58 .290 .373 .424 6 25 63
Ryan Mountcastle 52 .267 .305 .490 12 33 55
Rougned Odor 55 .204 .268 .398 7 26 37

Betting Tips for Blue Jays vs. Orioles

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +214. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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