Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/16/2022

Ryan Mountcastle is on the brink of his 100th hit of the season for the Baltimore Orioles (60-55) as they get set to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (61-53) on Tuesday. The Orioles enter the matchup as +190 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Rogers Centre at 7:07 PM ET. Alek Manoah gets the starting nod for Toronto while Dean Kremer is Baltimore’s starter for the contest.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Orioles

Our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +190 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+190) and Over (8.5)

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 16, 2022
• Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
• Location: Toronto, Ontario
• Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Blue Jays Starter Alek Manoah

• Manoah (12-5) gets the starting nod for the Blue Jays in his 23rd start of the season. He’s put together a 2.56 ERA in 137 innings pitched, with 124 strikeouts.
• In his most recent appearance on Tuesday against the Baltimore Orioles, the righty threw five innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
• In 22 games this season, the 24-year-old has a 2.56 ERA and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .217 to his opponents.
• Manoah has 17 quality starts under his belt this season.
• Manoah is looking for his 23rd straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per appearance on the mound.
• He will take the hill against an Orioles team that is hitting .238 as a unit (20th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .392 (16th in MLB) with 118 total home runs (15th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Orioles this season, Manoah has pitched 11 innings, giving up three earned runs on nine hits while striking out 12.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 24-year-old ranks eighth in ERA (2.56), 13th in WHIP (1.022), and 33rd in K/9 (8.1).

Orioles Starter Dean Kremer

• Kremer (4-4) will take to the mound for the Orioles and make his 13th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.69 and 7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .280 in 12 games this season.
• In 12 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in three of them.
• Kremer has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Blue Jays rank first in MLB with a .263 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks fourth in the league (.433) and 146 home runs.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Blue Jays have won 52 out of the 95 games, or 54.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Toronto is 10-10 this season when entering a game favored by -230 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 69.7% chance to win.
• Toronto’s games have gone over the total in 61 of their 113 chances.
• The Blue Jays have an ATS record of 48-65-0 in 113 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have come away with 49 wins in the 100 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Baltimore has a win-loss record of 4-9 when favored by +190 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 34.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Baltimore have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 55 of 116 chances this season.
• The Orioles are 77-39-0 against the spread in their 116 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Blue Jays best power option comes in the form of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and his 24-homer 70-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Guerrero ranks 30th in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage, and 15th in slugging.
• George Springer is hitting .254 with 15 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 37 walks.
• Springer is 37th in home runs in the majors, and 73rd in RBI.
• Springer carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .200 with a double, three walks and two RBI.
• Alejandro Kirk has 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .299.
• Bo Bichette is hitting .260 with 27 doubles, 17 home runs and 28 walks.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with a team-leading batting average of .264.
• Mullins ranks 135th in homers and 80th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Anthony Santander has hit 20 home runs with 61 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
• Santander is 30th overall in homers and 30th in RBI this season.
• Austin Hays has 25 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 24 walks while batting .256.
• Mountcastle is hitting .253 with 24 doubles, 16 home runs and 27 walks.