Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/8/2022

by | Aug 7, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baltimore Orioles 9 Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/8/2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (60-48) will meet the Baltimore Orioles (56-52) on Monday at 7:05 PM ET. Whit Merrifield will be looking for his 98th hit of the season for the favored Blue Jays (-153) when the game gets underway at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Toronto’s Yusei Kikuchi and Baltimore’s Jordan Lyles have been named the starters for this contest.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Blue Jays vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -153 +129 9 -125 +105 -1.5 +108 -128

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Orioles

After analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +129. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+129) and Over (9)

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
  • Game Day: Monday, August 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Baltimore, Maryland
  • Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Kikuchi Lyles
18 GS 22
4-5 W-L 8-8
4.86 ERA 4.40
74.0 IP 124.2
43 BB 41
84 SO 104

Blue Jays Starter Yusei Kikuchi

  • Kikuchi (4-5) gets the starting nod for the Blue Jays in his 19th start of the season. He has a 4.86 ERA in 74 innings pitched, with 84 strikeouts.
  • The left-hander’s last time out came on Wednesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing three hits.
  • In 18 games this season, the 31-year-old has amassed a 4.86 ERA and 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .239 to his opponents.
  • Kikuchi has three quality starts this season.
  • Kikuchi is looking to secure his eighth start of five or more innings this season in this game.
  • He will match up with an Orioles squad that is hitting .236 as a unit (22nd in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .389 (15th in MLB) with 110 total home runs (16th in MLB).
  • In four innings over one appearance against the Orioles this season, Kikuchi has a 9 ERA and a 2.25 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .313.

Orioles Starter Jordan Lyles

  • Lyles (8-8) will take the mound for the Orioles, his 23rd start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in 6 1/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
  • The 31-year-old has pitched in 22 games this season with an ERA of 4.40 and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .276.
  • In 22 starts this season, he’s earned nine quality starts.
  • Lyles will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • The Blue Jays rank third in MLB with 520 runs scored this season. They have a .264 batting average this campaign with 139 home runs (sixth in the league).
  • This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Blue Jays in one game, and they have gone 5-for-21 with two doubles, a home run and four RBI over 5 1/3 innings.
  • Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 31-year-old’s 4.40 ERA ranks 51st, 1.428 WHIP ranks 59th, and 7.5 K/9 ranks 43rd.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Blue Jays have won 51, or 57.3%, of the 89 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Toronto has entered 47 games this season favored by -153 or more and is 30-17 in those contests.
  • The Blue Jays have a 60.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving Toronto have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 57 of 107 chances this season.
  • The Blue Jays are 48-59-0 against the spread in their 107 chances this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Orioles have come away with 45 wins in the 93 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Baltimore has won 27 of 58 games when listed as at least +129 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 43.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Baltimore and their opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 109 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Orioles have an against the spread mark of 72-37-0 in 109 games with a line this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. paces the Blue Jays with 23 home runs and 68 runs batted in.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Guerrero is 29th in batting average, 25th in on-base percentage, and 13th in slugging.
  • Guerrero carries an 18-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .368 with four doubles, two home runs, five walks and six RBI.
  • Alejandro Kirk is batting .298 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Kirk ranks 85th in homers and 116th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
  • Bo Bichette is hitting .262 with 27 doubles, 15 home runs and 27 walks.
  • Bichette is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .318 with three doubles, a home run and four RBI.
  • Merrifield has 23 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 30 walks while hitting .244.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 107 .290 .363 .511 23 68 119
Alejandro Kirk 96 .298 .383 .458 12 40 93
Bo Bichette 107 .262 .303 .424 15 60 116
Whit Merrifield 99 .244 .293 .353 6 43 97
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 98 .312 .365 .425 5 45 113

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Cedric Mullins leads the team in batting average with a mark of .260.
  • Among all batters in the big leagues, Mullins’ home run total is 140th and his RBI tally is 81st.
  • Anthony Santander has hit 19 home runs with 59 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
  • Santander is currently 28th in home runs and 27th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Austin Hays is hitting .258 with 24 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 23 walks.
  • Ryan Mountcastle is hitting .252 with 22 doubles, 14 home runs and 23 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Cedric Mullins 106 .260 .320 .389 9 46 109
Anthony Santander 100 .255 .334 .452 19 59 96
Austin Hays 96 .258 .317 .429 12 47 94
Ryan Mountcastle 94 .252 .294 .425 14 52 93
Jorge Mateo 100 .220 .270 .396 11 34 72

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