Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/5/2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (73-59) will play the Baltimore Orioles (71-62) on Monday at 1:05 PM ET. Jesus Aguilar will be looking for his 99th hit of the season for the underdog Orioles (+113) when the game gets underway at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Kevin Gausman will get the ball for Toronto while Baltimore counter with Mike Baumann.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Orioles

We have the Orioles on the moneyline at +113 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+113) and Over (8.5)

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Mike Baumann
• Game Day: Monday, September 5, 2022
• Game Time: 1:05 PM ET
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Blue Jays Starter Kevin Gausman

• Gausman makes the start for the Blue Jays, his 26th of the season. He is 10-9 with a 3.14 ERA and 164 strikeouts through 140 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last outing on Tuesday against the Chicago Cubs, the right-hander threw six innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• The 31-year-old has amassed a 3.14 ERA and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings in 25 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .275 to his opponents.
• Gausman is looking to secure his 15th quality start of the year.
• Gausman will look to extend a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per appearance).
• He will take the hill against an Orioles squad that is hitting .236 as a unit (21st in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .392 (14th in MLB) with 142 total home runs (15th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Orioles this season, Gausman has pitched 2 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs on seven hits while striking out three.
• The 31-year-old ranks 19th in ERA (3.14), 41st in WHIP (1.247), and eighth in K/9 (10.5) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Orioles Starter Mike Baumann

• Baumann will make his first start of the season for the Orioles.
• The 26-year-old righty has pitched in relief seven times already this season, but will make his first start.
• He has an ERA of 4.50, a batting average against of .289 and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings in seven games this season.
• The Blue Jays have scored 612 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB. They are batting .259 for the campaign with 160 home runs, ninth in the league.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Blue Jays have entered the game as favorites 110 times this season and won 62, or 56.4%, of those games.
• Toronto is 48-34 this season when entering a game favored by -134 or more on the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 67 of their 131 games with a total this season.
• The Blue Jays are 56-75-0 against the spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have won in 58, or 50.9%, of the 114 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Baltimore has a mark of 44-39 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +113 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 46.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Contests with Baltimore have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 58 of 134 chances this season.
• The Orioles are 89-45-0 against the spread in their 134 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Blue Jays best power option comes in the form of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and his 27-dinger 80-RBI season, both team highs.
• In all of MLB, Guerrero ranks 16th in homers and 17th in RBI.
• George Springer has 17 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 43 walks while hitting .265.
• Springer is 49th in home runs and 76th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Alejandro Kirk paces the Blue Jays with a team-high batting average of .295.
• Bo Bichette is hitting .266 with 34 doubles, 18 home runs and 34 walks.
• Bichette is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBI.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Anthony Santander has posted a team-high 25 home runs and has driven in 75 runs.
• Santander’s home run total puts him 22nd in the majors, and he is 26th in RBI.
• Santander carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a double, two home runs, three walks and two RBI.
• Cedric Mullins’ .264 batting average leads his team.
• Mullins is currently 105th in homers and 96th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Ryan Mountcastle has 24 doubles, 21 home runs and 31 walks while batting .246.
• Austin Hays is hitting .251 with 30 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 27 walks.