Blue Jays vs. Phillies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/12/2022

by | Jul 12, 2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (45-42) are -190 favorites to break their four-game losing streak when they face the Philadelphia Phillies (46-41), losers of two in a row. The game begins Tuesday at 7:07 PM ET, live from Rogers Centre. Toronto’s Jose Berrios and Philadelphia’s Andrew Bellatti have been named the starters for this contest.

Blue Jays vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Blue Jays vs Phillies Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -190 +160 9.5 -103 -117 -1.5 +101 -121

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Phillies

After looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Phillies on the moneyline at +160. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+160) and Over (9.5)

Blue Jays vs. Phillies Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: José Berríos
  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Andrew Bellatti
  • Game Day: Tuesday, July 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Berríos Bellatti
17 GS 0
6-4 W-L 1-3
5.44 ERA 3.14
89.1 IP 28.2
23 BB 12
73 SO 41

Blue Jays Starter José Berríos

  • Berrios gets the start for the Blue Jays, his 18th of the season. He is 6-4 with a 5.44 ERA and 73 strikeouts in 89 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance came on Wednesday against the Oakland Athletics, when the righty tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
  • The 28-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.44, with 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opponents are hitting .281 against him.
  • Berrios is looking to secure his ninth quality start of the year.
  • Berrios will aim to go five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
  • He meets a Phillies offense that ranks sixth in the league with 410 runs while batting .247 as a unit. It has a collective .417 slugging percentage (seventh in MLB action) and has hit a total of 113 home runs (fifth in MLB).
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 28-year-old ranks 60th in ERA (5.44), 56th in WHIP (1.388), and 42nd in K/9 (7.4).

Phillies Starter Andrew Bellatti

  • Bellatti gets the nod for the Phillies and will make his first start of the season.
  • The 30-year-old righty has pitched out of the bullpen 32 times already this season, but will make his first start.
  • He has pitched to a 3.14 ERA this season with 12.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.8 walks per nine across 32 games.
  • The Blue Jays rank third in MLB with a .257 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks fourth in the league (.430) and 112 home runs.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been favorites in 68 games this season and won 36 (52.9%) of those contests.
  • This season, Toronto has won 12 of its 23 games, or 52.2%, when favored by at least -190 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.5% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
  • So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of their 86 games with a total.
  • The Blue Jays are 36-50-0 ATS in their 86 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Phillies have come away with 15 wins in the 32 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Philadelphia has won two of three games when listed as at least +160 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 38.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Philadelphia and their opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 87 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Phillies have posted a record of 46-41-0 against the spread this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays in home runs (19) and runs batted in (54).
  • In all of MLB, Guerrero is 14th in home runs and 16th in RBI.
  • George Springer is hitting .250 with 14 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Springer is 20th in home runs and 61st in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Springer carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and two RBI.
  • Alejandro Kirk paces the Blue Jays with a .309 batting average.
  • Bo Bichette is hitting .259 with 20 doubles, 14 home runs and 22 walks.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 86 .266 .346 .483 19 54 87
George Springer 77 .250 .331 .490 17 40 72
Alejandro Kirk 77 .309 .395 .481 10 33 75
Bo Bichette 86 .259 .301 .430 14 48 94
Santiago Espinal 86 .271 .323 .399 6 37 83

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 28 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 57.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Schwarber ranks second in homers and 11th in RBI.
  • Rhys Hoskins is hitting .255 with 17 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Hoskins ranks 18th overall in home runs and 51st in RBI this year.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is batting .251 with 18 doubles, eight home runs and 21 walks.
  • J.T. Realmuto has 11 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 24 walks while batting .240.
Kyle Schwarber 85 .219 .332 .524 28 57 69
Rhys Hoskins 86 .255 .347 .491 18 43 81
Nicholas Castellanos 86 .251 .297 .376 8 45 84
J.T. Realmuto 76 .240 .313 .371 7 35 66
Alec Bohm 82 .273 .307 .385 6 33 83

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