Blue Jays vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/11/2022

by | Sep 11, 2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (78-60) will look to Danny Jansen, red hot after a four-hit game, to lead them in a matchup with the Texas Rangers (59-79) on Sunday at 2:35 PM ET. The Blue Jays are -155 favorites for the contest, according to bookmakers. Toronto’s Trevor Richards and Texas’ Martin Perez have been named the starters for this contest.

Blue Jays vs. Rangers Spread and Betting Line

Blue Jays vs Rangers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -155 +135 7.5 -105 -115 -1.5 +110 -130

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Rangers

After looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Rangers on the moneyline at +135. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Texas Rangers (+135) and Over (7.5)

Blue Jays vs. Rangers Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Trevor Richards
  • Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
  • Game Day: Sunday, September 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:35 PM ET
  • Location: Arlington, Texas
  • Stadium: Globe Life Field

Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers Pitching Matchup

Richards Pérez
1 GS 27
3-1 W-L 10-6
4.72 ERA 2.82
55.1 IP 166.0
29 BB 55
69 SO 149

Blue Jays Starter Trevor Richards

  • Richards (3-1) gets the start for the Blue Jays, his second of the season.
  • In his most recent time out — out of the bullpen on Tuesday — the right-hander threw two-thirds of an inning against the Baltimore Orioles, giving up three earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • He has a 4.72 ERA and 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are hitting .238 against him over his 54 appearances this season.
  • The opposing Rangers offense has the 13th-ranked slugging percentage (.396) and ranks ninth in MLB play with 166 home runs. It has a collective .242 batting average, and is 15th in MLB with 1136 total hits and 13th in MLB action scoring 615 runs.
  • Head-to-head against the Rangers this season, Richards has thrown one inning without giving up an earned run on one hit, while striking out one.

Rangers Starter Martín Pérez

  • The Rangers will hand the ball to Perez (10-6) for his 28th start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed six hits in seven innings against the Houston Astros.
  • The 31-year-old has pitched in 27 games this season with an ERA of 2.82 and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .236.
  • He has earned a quality start 19 times in 27 starts this season.
  • Pérez has pitched five or more innings in 25 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Blue Jays have scored 652 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB. They are batting .262 for the campaign with 169 home runs, eighth in the league.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 31-year-old’s 2.82 ERA ranks 12th, 1.223 WHIP ranks 35th, and 8.1 K/9 ranks 29th.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have been favored 115 times and won 67, or 58.3%, of those games.
  • This season, Toronto has won 40 of its 64 games, or 62.5%, when favored by at least -155 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.8% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
  • So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of their 137 games with a total.
  • The Blue Jays are 60-77-0 against the spread this season.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rangers have been victorious in 38, or 43.7%, of the 87 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Texas has won 14 of 34 games when listed as at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Texas and their opponents have gone over in 67 of their 139 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rangers have an against the spread record of 76-63-0 in 139 games with a line this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with 27 home runs on the year. He’s also hitting .276 with 82 RBI.
  • Guerrero’s home runs put him 20th in the majors, and he is 17th in RBI.
  • Guerrero brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .167 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
  • Bo Bichette has been productive as he leads his team with 84 runs batted in.
  • Bichette ranks 35th in home runs and 16th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Bichette carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .522 with four doubles, a triple, five home runs, two walks and 11 RBI.
  • George Springer has 19 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 46 walks while batting .264.
  • Springer is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .174 with two doubles and three walks.
  • Alejandro Kirk is batting .298 to lead his team.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 137 .276 .343 .481 27 82 150
Bo Bichette 136 .279 .323 .474 23 84 156
George Springer 111 .264 .341 .456 19 58 113
Alejandro Kirk 122 .298 .381 .439 13 57 122
Matt Chapman 132 .235 .324 .451 24 66 109

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Corey Seager paces the Rangers with 29 home runs.
  • In all of the big leagues, Seager is 12th in home runs and 32nd in RBI.
  • Seager has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .136 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
  • Marcus Semien has 25 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 47 walks while hitting .243.
  • Semien ranks 42nd in homers and 41st in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Nate Lowe has put up a team-best batting average of .304.
  • Adolis Garcia has plated a team-high 87 runs batted in.
Marcus Semien 137 .243 .301 .415 21 69 136
Corey Seager 132 .247 .322 .456 29 74 128
Nate Lowe 133 .304 .358 .502 24 68 154
Adolis García 133 .249 .294 .445 23 87 131
Jonah Heim 110 .230 .308 .402 13 44 82

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