Blue Jays vs. Rays Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/12/2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (78-61) will play the Tampa Bay Rays (78-60) on Monday at 7:07 PM ET. David Peralta will be looking for his 98th hit of the season for the underdog Rays (+129) when the game gets underway at Rogers Centre. Toronto’s Jose Berrios gets the start, and he’ll go against Tampa Bay’s Cooper Criswell.

Blue Jays vs. Rays Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Rays

After looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Rays on the moneyline at +129. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Tampa Bay Rays (+129) and Over (8.5)

Blue Jays vs. Rays Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: José Berríos
• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell
• Game Day: Monday, September 12, 2022
• Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
• Location: Toronto, Ontario
• Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Pitching Matchup

Blue Jays Starter José Berríos

• Berrios makes the start for the Blue Jays, his 28th of the season. He is 10-5 with a 5.23 ERA and 129 strikeouts in 146 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Monday against the Baltimore Orioles, the righty tossed 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
• The 28-year-old has a 5.23 ERA and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings across 27 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .285 to opposing hitters.
• Berrios is trying to pick up his 15th quality start of the season in this outing.
• Berrios will aim to pitch five or more innings for his fifth straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
• He will face a Rays offense that ranks 20th in the league with 586 runs while batting .243 as a unit. It has a collective .383 slugging percentage (22nd in MLB action) and has hit a total of 122 home runs (25th in MLB).
• Berrios has pitched five innings, giving up two earned runs on eight hits while striking out three against the Rays this season.
• This season, the 28-year-old ranks 49th in ERA (5.23), 46th in WHIP (1.387), and 31st in K/9 (7.9) among qualifying pitchers.

Rays Starter Cooper Criswell

• Criswell has been named the starter for the Rays and will make his first start this season.
• The 26-year-old right-hander will make his season debut.
• The Blue Jays have scored 653 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB. They have 1249 hits, third in baseball, with 169 home runs (eighth in the league).

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Blue Jays have entered the game as favorites 116 times this season and won 67, or 57.8%, of those games.
• Toronto has a record of 41-26, a 61.2% win rate, when favored by -151 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 60.2% chance to win.
• So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of their 138 games with a total.
• In 138 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 60-78-0 ATS.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rays have been underdogs in 43 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (41.9%) in those contests.
• Tampa Bay has a mark of 4-4 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +129 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 43.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 64 of their 138 opportunities.
• In 138 games with a line this season, the Rays have a mark of 66-72-0 against the spread.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with 27 big flies on the year. He’s also hitting .277 with 82 RBI.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Guerrero ranks 22nd in home runs and 19th in RBI.
• Guerrero carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Bo Bichette has racked up 84 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Among all major league hitters, Bichette is 37th in homers and 16th in RBI.
• Bichette carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .455 with four doubles, a triple, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
• George Springer is hitting .262 with 19 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 48 walks.
• Alejandro Kirk is hitting .298 to lead his team.
• Kirk is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .409 with two doubles, two walks and four RBI.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with a team-high batting average of .292.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Diaz’s home run total is 197th and his RBI tally ranks 113th.
• Randy Arozarena has hit 19 home runs with 76 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
• Arozarena ranks 55th in homers and 32nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Harold Ramirez is batting .319 with 20 doubles, five home runs and 18 walks.
• Peralta is batting .253 with 28 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 34 walks.