Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/27/2022

Alejandro Kirk, batting .322 this season, leads the Toronto Blue Jays (40-32) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Rafael Devers (.334 AVG) and the Boston Red Sox (42-31). Kirk and the Blue Jays are -188 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Rogers Centre, beginning at 7:07 PM ET. Kevin Gausman gets the starting nod for Toronto while Connor Seabold is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

Our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +159 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will under the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+159) and Under (9)

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Connor Seabold
• Game Day: Monday, June 27, 2022
• Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
• Location: Toronto, Ontario
• Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Blue Jays Starter Kevin Gausman

• The Blue Jays will send Gausman (5-6) to make his 15th start of the season. He is 5-6 with a 3.19 ERA and 87 strikeouts in 79 innings pitched.
• His last appearance was on Wednesday against the Chicago White Sox, when the right-hander went six innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up seven hits.
• The 31-year-old has a 3.19 ERA and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 14 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .278 to opposing hitters.
• Gausman has eight quality starts under his belt this season.
• Gausman is trying to record his 13th start of five or more innings this season in this game.
• The opposing Red Sox offense has a collective .261 batting average, and is first in the league with 659 total hits and fifth in MLB play with 351 runs scored. It has the fifth-ranked slugging percentage (.419) and ranks 20th in home runs (70) in all of MLB.
• Head-to-head against the Red Sox this season, Gausman has pitched 14 innings, giving up one earned run on 11 hits while striking out 17.
• This season, the 31-year-old ranks 28th in ERA (3.19), 43rd in WHIP (1.278), and 10th in K/9 (9.9) among qualifying pitchers.

Red Sox Starter Connor Seabold

• The Red Sox will send Seabold to the mound for his first start this season.
• The 26-year-old right-hander will make his season debut.
• The Blue Jays rank 10th in MLB with 339 runs scored this season. They have a .255 batting average this campaign with 95 home runs (fifth in the league).

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Blue Jays have won 31, or 57.4%, of the 54 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Toronto has entered 20 games this season favored by -188 or more and is 10-10 in those contests.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 65.3% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
• Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of their 71 games with a total this season.
• In 71 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 32-39-0 ATS.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 29 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (44.8%) in those games.
• Boston has played as an underdog of +159 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 38.6% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Boston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 28 of 73 chances this season.
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 41-32-0 against the spread this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has racked up a team-high 17 home runs and 43 runs batted in.
• In all of the majors, Guerrero is 11th in home runs and 26th in RBI.
• Guerrero carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with two doubles, four walks and two RBI.
• Kirk is batting .322 to pace his team.
• Kirk is 56th in home runs and 90th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• George Springer is batting .259 with 11 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 23 walks.
• Bo Bichette is hitting .252 with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 19 walks.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Devers has posted a team-best batting average of .334, while pacing the Red Sox in long balls with 17.
• Devers ranks 11th in home runs and 19th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Devers takes a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 games he is hitting .353 with two doubles, two home runs, eight walks and seven RBI.
• J.D. Martinez has 24 doubles, eight home runs and 28 walks while batting .329.
• Among all MLB batters, Martinez ranks 85th in home runs and 77th in RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts has 20 doubles, six home runs and 27 walks while hitting .330.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .256 with 16 doubles, five home runs and 19 walks.