Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/29/2022

by | Jun 29, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/29/2022

Alejandro Kirk, batting .325 this season, leads the Toronto Blue Jays (42-32) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Rafael Devers (.332 AVG) and the Boston Red Sox (42-33). Kirk and the Blue Jays are -160 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Rogers Centre, beginning at 7:07 PM ET. Alek Manoah gets the starting nod for Toronto while Nick Pivetta is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -160 +136 8.5 -107 -113 -1.5 +129 -153

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

We have the Red Sox on the moneyline at +136 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+136) and Over (8.5)

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta
  • Game Day: Wednesday, June 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Manoah Pivetta
14 GS 15
9-2 W-L 8-5
2.05 ERA 3.25
87.2 IP 88.2
18 BB 29
79 SO 86

Blue Jays Starter Alek Manoah

  • Manoah (9-2) is going for his 10th victory when he takes the mound for the Blue Jays in his 15th start of the season. He has a 2.05 ERA in 87 2/3 innings pitched, with 79 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent time out on Saturday, the righty tossed 6 2/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, allowing two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 2.05, with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 14 games this season. Opponents are batting .207 against him.
  • Manoah has registered 12 quality starts this season.
  • Manoah will try to build upon a 15-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing).
  • The opposing Red Sox offense has the sixth-ranked slugging percentage (.418) and is 18th in MLB play with 72 home runs. It has a collective .261 batting average, and is first in MLB with 677 total hits and fifth in MLB play scoring 358 runs.
  • Manoah has a 0 ERA and a 0.571 WHIP against the Red Sox this season in seven innings pitched, allowing a .125 batting average over one appearance.
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 24-year-old ranks fourth in ERA (2.05), eighth in WHIP (.958), and 32nd in K/9 (8.1).

Red Sox Starter Nick Pivetta

  • The Red Sox will send Pivetta (8-5) to the mound for his 16th start this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed nine hits in 7 2/3 innings against the Cleveland Guardians.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.25 and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .212 in 15 games this season.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his fourth quality start in a row.
  • Pivetta has pitched five or more innings in 10 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Blue Jays have scored 352 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB. They are batting .257 for the campaign with 98 home runs, fifth in the league.
  • The right-hander has allowed the Blue Jays to go 10-for-34 with a home run and seven RBI in 8 2/3 innings this season.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 29-year-old’s 3.25 ERA ranks 31st, 1.105 WHIP ranks 26th, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 24th.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have been favored 56 times and won 33, or 58.9%, of those games.
  • Toronto has a record of 17-10, a 63% win rate, when favored by -160 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.5% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
  • Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of their 73 games with a total this season.
  • In 73 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 33-40-0 ATS.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have won in 13, or 41.9%, of the 31 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This year, Boston has won one of five games when listed as at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 42.4% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Boston’s games have gone over the total in 29 of their 75 opportunities.
  • The Red Sox have an against the spread record of 42-33-0 in 75 games with a line this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Blue Jays best power option comes in the form of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and his 18-homer 46-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Guerrero’s home runs place him 10th in the majors, and he ranks 18th in RBI.
  • Guerrero takes a hitting streak of seven games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .297 with two doubles, two home runs, nine walks and seven RBI.
  • Kirk’s .325 batting average leads his team.
  • Kirk is 61st in home runs in baseball, and 103rd in RBI.
  • Kirk carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .571 with a double, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
  • George Springer is hitting .259 with 11 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 25 walks.
  • Springer will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.
  • Bo Bichette is batting .256 with 16 doubles, 12 home runs and 20 walks.
  • Bichette is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 73 .271 .364 .505 18 46 74
Alejandro Kirk 65 .325 .414 .527 10 31 66
George Springer 66 .259 .335 .490 14 35 64
Bo Bichette 73 .256 .301 .424 12 41 79
Santiago Espinal 74 .264 .316 .391 5 33 69

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Devers has posted a team- leading batting average of .332, while pacing the Red Sox in long balls with 17.
  • In all of the big leagues, Devers is 13th in home runs and 23rd in RBI.
  • Devers carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .351 with three doubles, a home run, five walks and five RBI.
  • Xander Bogaerts is hitting .328 with 21 doubles, six home runs and 29 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Bogaerts is 134th in homers and 103rd in RBI.
  • J.D. Martinez has 24 doubles, eight home runs and 28 walks while hitting .318.
  • Alex Verdugo is batting .263 with 16 doubles, five home runs and 19 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rafael Devers 73 .332 .390 .600 17 45 98
Xander Bogaerts 72 .328 .400 .474 6 31 88
J.D. Martínez 65 .318 .388 .506 8 32 81
Alex Verdugo 69 .263 .310 .380 5 39 70
Trevor Story 68 .224 .300 .418 12 52 59

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