Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/23/2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (51-43) visit the Boston Red Sox (48-46) at 4:10 PM ET Saturday for a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. For the favored Blue Jays (-136), Alejandro Kirk is batting .319 this year, fifth in the league, while Rafael Devers ranks third in the majors with a .324 average for the underdog Red Sox. Alek Manoah will get the ball for Toronto while Boston counter with Kutter Crawford.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

After taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +115. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+115) and Over (9.5)

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
• Game Day: Saturday, July 23, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Blue Jays Starter Alek Manoah

• Manoah (10-4 with a 2.28 ERA and 103 strikeouts in 114 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Blue Jays, his 19th of the season.
• The right-hander’s most recent time out came on Friday, July 15 against the Kansas City Royals, when he threw 7 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 2.28, with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents have a .205 batting average against him.
• Manoah is aiming to secure his third straight quality start in this matchup.
• Manoah is aiming for his 19th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per appearance on the mound.
• He will take the hill against a Red Sox squad that is hitting .256 as a unit (third in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .413 (eighth in MLB) with 95 total home runs (17th in MLB).
• In 14 innings over two appearances against the Red Sox this season, Manoah has a 1.29 ERA and a 0.786 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .184.
• The 24-year-old’s 2.28 ERA ranks seventh, .959 WHIP ranks eighth, and 8.1 K/9 ranks 37th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Red Sox Starter Kutter Crawford

• Crawford (2-2) will take the mound for the Red Sox, his fifth start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Thursday, July 14 in his last outing, a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.50, a 2.933 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.361 in 13 games this season.
• In four starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
• Crawford will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
• The Blue Jays have scored 456 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They have 859 hits, first in baseball, with 124 home runs (fifth in the league).

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Blue Jays have won 42, or 56%, of the 75 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, Toronto has won 31 of its 51 games, or 60.8%, when favored by at least -136 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 57.6% chance to win.
• Toronto’s games have gone over the total in 52 of their 93 chances.
• In 93 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 40-53-0 ATS.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have won in 18, or 40.9%, of the 44 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Boston has been victorious 10 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Boston and their opponents have gone over in 42 of their 94 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 94 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 50-44-0 against the spread.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the Blue Jays best power hitter, hitting 20 long balls this season in addition to delivering 59 RBI, both team highs.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Guerrero is 16th in home runs and 14th in RBI.
• Guerrero has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .381 with two doubles, two walks and three RBI.
• Kirk is hitting .319 to pace his team.
• Kirk ranks 82nd in home runs and 98th in RBI on the year.
• Kirk has seven games in a row with at least one hit. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .359 with a double, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
• George Springer is batting .250 with 14 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 33 walks.
• Springer is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with two walks and two RBI.
• Bo Bichette has 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 25 walks while batting .262.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Devers leads the Red Sox with 22 homers while racking up a team-leading batting average of .324.
• Devers ranks ninth in homers and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Xander Bogaerts is batting .313 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 36 walks.
• Bogaerts is 156th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 98th in RBI.
• Alex Verdugo has 19 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks while hitting .260.
• J.D. Martinez has 30 doubles, nine home runs and 31 walks while batting .302.