Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/24/2022

by | Jul 24, 2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (52-43) are -146 favorites when they take on the Boston Red Sox (48-47) on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 99 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Fenway Park. Ross Stripling starts for Toronto while Brayan Bello is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -146 +125 11 -107 -113 -1.5 +103 -124

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +125. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 11 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+125) and Over (11)

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Ross Stripling
  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Brayan Bello
  • Game Day: Sunday, July 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Stripling Bello
13 GS 2
5-3 W-L 0-1
3.03 ERA 10.13
74.1 IP 8.0
14 BB 6
61 SO 7

Blue Jays Starter Ross Stripling

  • Stripling gets the start for the Blue Jays, his 14th of the season. He is 5-3 with a 3.03 ERA and 61 strikeouts in 74 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out was on Wednesday, July 13 against the Philadelphia Phillies, when the righty went 7 2/3 innings, surrendering no earned runs while giving up two hits.
  • The 32-year-old has amassed a 3.03 ERA and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 21 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .229 to opposing hitters.
  • Stripling enters this outing with three quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Stripling will try to extend a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 3.2 innings per appearance).
  • The opposing Red Sox offense has the eighth-ranked slugging percentage (.412) and ranks 16th in MLB play with 96 home runs. It has a collective .256 batting average, and is fourth in MLB with 841 total hits and seventh in MLB play scoring 436 runs.
  • Stripling has thrown 10 innings, giving up three earned runs on 10 hits while striking out 10 against the Red Sox this season.

Red Sox Starter Brayan Bello

  • Bello heads to the mound for the Red Sox to make his third start of the season, seeking his first win.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday, July 11, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up five earned runs.
  • He has pitched in two games this season with an ERA of 10.13, a 1.167 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 2.375.
  • The Blue Jays have scored 460 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They have 866 hits, first in baseball, with 124 home runs (fifth in the league).

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Blue Jays have won 43, or 56.6%, of the 76 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season, Toronto has won 27 of its 44 games, or 61.4%, when favored by at least -146 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 59.3%.
  • Toronto’s games have gone over the total in 52 of their 94 chances.
  • In 94 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 41-53-0 ATS.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have come away with 18 wins in the 45 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Boston has a win-loss record of 7-12 when favored by +125 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 44.4% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Boston and their opponents have gone over in 42 of their 95 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Red Sox have an against the spread mark of 50-45-0 in 95 games with a line this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Blue Jays best power option comes in the form of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and his 20-homer 59-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Guerrero is 46th in batting average, 43rd in on-base percentage, and 28th in slugging.
  • Guerrero carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .429 with two doubles, two walks and three RBI.
  • Alejandro Kirk has a club-best .319 batting average.
  • Kirk ranks 83rd in home runs and 89th in RBI on the year.
  • Kirk has eight games in a row with at least one hit. During his last 10 outings he is batting .378 with a double, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
  • George Springer has 14 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .251.
  • Springer will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with three walks and three RBI.
  • Bo Bichette is batting .260 with 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 26 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 94 .273 .348 .485 20 59 98
Alejandro Kirk 85 .319 .397 .486 11 38 88
George Springer 83 .251 .332 .473 17 43 78
Bo Bichette 94 .260 .305 .420 14 52 102
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 86 .315 .365 .439 5 41 99

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Xander Bogaerts is hitting .313 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 36 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .387.
  • Bogaerts ranks 157th in homers and 101st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Alex Verdugo is batting .262 with 19 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks.
  • Verdugo ranks 183rd overall in homers and 45th in RBI this season.
  • J.D. Martinez has 30 doubles, nine home runs and 31 walks while batting .302.
  • Christian Vazquez has 18 doubles, eight home runs and 16 walks while hitting .281.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Xander Bogaerts 91 .313 .387 .448 7 37 105
Alex Verdugo 88 .262 .305 .370 6 48 90
J.D. Martínez 81 .302 .368 .481 9 38 96
Christian Vázquez 76 .281 .326 .441 8 38 74
Jackie Bradley Jr. 84 .204 .255 .300 2 27 51

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