Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/24/2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (66-55) are -175 moneyline favorites to win Wednesday when they plan to send Jose Berrios to the mound to face the Boston Red Sox (60-63). Berrios will try to earn his 10th win when the teams hit the field at 7:10 PM ET. Berrios takes the mound for Toronto while Brayan Bello is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

Our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +148 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+148) and Over (9.5)

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: José Berríos
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Brayan Bello
• Game Day: Wednesday, August 24, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Blue Jays Starter José Berríos

• Berrios will aim to grab his 10th win when he makes the start for the Blue Jays, his 25th of the season. He is 9-5 with a 5.39 ERA and 117 strikeouts through 128 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Thursday, the righty tossed 6 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees, allowing one earned run while surrendering six hits.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 5.39, with 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 24 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .279 batting average against him.
• Berrios has recorded 12 quality starts this year.
• Berrios is looking to secure his 18th start of five or more innings this year in this game.
• The opposing Red Sox offense has the 12th-ranked slugging percentage (.405) and is 19th in MLB play with 115 home runs. It has a collective .254 batting average, and is seventh in MLB with 1076 total hits and 10th in MLB play scoring 551 runs.
• Berrios has thrown 13 innings, giving up three earned runs on 13 hits while striking out 10 against the Red Sox this season.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 28-year-old ranks 55th in ERA (5.39), 47th in WHIP (1.368), and 30th in K/9 (8.2).

Red Sox Starter Brayan Bello

• Bello gets the nod for the Red Sox and will make his first start of the season.
• The 23-year-old right-hander will make his season debut.
• The Blue Jays are batting .262 this season, second in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .432 (third in the league) with 151 home runs.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Blue Jays have entered the game as favorites 99 times this season and won 55, or 55.6%, of those games.
• Toronto is 24-15 this season when entering a game favored by -175 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 63.6%.
• So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 63 of their 120 games with a total.
• The Blue Jays have an ATS record of 53-67-0 in 120 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 59 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (40.7%) in those contests.
• Boston has a mark of 2-7 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +148 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 40.3% chance of pulling out a win.
• Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 55 of their 123 opportunities.
• The Red Sox are 61-62-0 against the spread in their 123 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with 26 home runs and 75 runs batted in.
• Guerrero is 12th in home runs and 16th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• George Springer has 16 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 37 walks while batting .271.
• Springer is 43rd in home runs in baseball, and 71st in RBI.
• Springer carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .389 with two doubles, a triple, three walks and seven RBI.
• Alejandro Kirk leads the Blue Jays with a .298 batting average.
• Bo Bichette is batting .259 with 29 doubles, 17 home runs and 28 walks.
• Bichette has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .227 with a double.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox with 25 home runs and 64 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .300.
• Devers is 18th in home runs and 31st in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Devers carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with two RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts has 31 doubles, 10 home runs and 44 walks while batting .298.
• Bogaerts is 141st in home runs and 82nd in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Alex Verdugo has 30 doubles, seven home runs and 29 walks while hitting .278.
• Tommy Pham is hitting .243 with 19 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 45 walks.