Blue Jays vs. Tigers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/28/2022

The Detroit Tigers (40-59), led by Harold Castro on an 11-game hitting streak, will meet the Toronto Blue Jays (54-44) Thursday at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays are -225 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 7:07 PM ET . Toronto’s Yusei Kikuchi and Detroit’s Tyler Alexander have been named the starters for this contest.

Blue Jays vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Tigers

After analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Tigers on the moneyline at +185. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+185) and Over (8.5)

Blue Jays vs. Tigers Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
• Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander
• Game Day: Thursday, July 28, 2022
• Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
• Location: Toronto, Ontario
• Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Blue Jays Starter Yusei Kikuchi

• Kikuchi will take the mound to start for the Blue Jays, his first this season.
• It’s the season debut and his first appearance in more than a year for the 31-year-old lefty.
• The Tigers rank 30th in MLB play with 320 runs scored this season, and are batting .229 with 59 home runs (30th in baseball).

Tigers Starter Tyler Alexander

• Alexander (2-3) will take the mound for the Tigers, his fifth start of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Minnesota Twins, throwing 3 2/3 scoreless innings of relief and allowing one hit.
• The 28-year-old has pitched to a 4.05 ERA this season with 4.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.2 walks per nine across 14 games.
• In four starts, Alexander has pitched through or past the fifth inning one time. He has a season average of 2.1 frames per outing.
• The Blue Jays are batting .267 this season, first in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .441 (second in the league) with 127 home runs.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Blue Jays have entered the game as favorites 79 times this season and won 45, or 57%, of those games.
• This season, Toronto has won nine of its 19 games, or 47.4%, when favored by at least -225 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 69.2% chance to win.
• Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of their 97 games with a total this season.
• In 97 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 43-54-0 ATS.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Tigers have come away with 31 wins in the 80 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Detroit has been victorious three times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +185 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 35.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of their 100 opportunities.
• The Tigers are 46-54-0 against the spread in their 100 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the Blue Jays best power hitter, connecting on 21 round-trippers this season in addition to accumulating 62 RBI, both team highs.
• Guerrero is 15th in homers and 13th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Guerrero takes a hitting streak of eight games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .405 with four doubles, two home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
• George Springer is batting .255 with 14 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 34 walks.
• Springer ranks 26th in home runs and 52nd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Alejandro Kirk has 13 doubles, 12 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .312.
• Bo Bichette has 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 27 walks while batting .259.
• Bichette has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with three doubles, two walks and three RBI.

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Javier Baez has plated a team-high 38 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Baez’s home run total ranks 116th and his RBI tally is 103rd.
• Baez has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .267 with a double, two walks and three RBI.
• Jeimer Candelario’s 10 home runs lead his team.
• Candelario is currently 98th in homers and 158th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Jonathan Schoop is hitting .211 with 15 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 13 walks.
• Miguel Cabrera paces the Tigers with a .287 batting average.