Blue Jays vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/4/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Thursday when the Toronto Blue Jays (58-46) and Minnesota Twins (55-49) take to the field at 7:40 PM ET. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .311 for the Blue Jays (-125 favorites on the moneyline) while Luis Arraez leads the underdog Twins (+105) with a .329 average. Alek Manoah gets the starting nod for Toronto while Sonny Gray is Minnesota’s starter for the contest.

Blue Jays vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Twins

We have the Twins on the moneyline at +105 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+105) and Over (7.5)

Blue Jays vs. Twins Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
• Game Day: Thursday, August 4, 2022
• Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Blue Jays Starter Alek Manoah

• Manoah (11-5 with a 2.43 ERA and 114 strikeouts in 126 innings pitched) makes the start for the Blue Jays, his 21st of the season.
• In his last appearance on Friday, the righty tossed 5 1/3 innings against the Detroit Tigers, giving up four earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 2.43, with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 20 games this season. Opponents are batting .214 against him.
• Manoah has collected 16 quality starts this season.
• Manoah is aiming for his 21st straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Twins offense has a collective .251 batting average, and is 10th in the league with 881 total hits and 12th in MLB action with 470 runs scored. It has the seventh-ranked slugging percentage (.417) and ranks ninth in home runs (129) in all of MLB.
• The 24-year-old ranks sixth in ERA (2.43), 11th in WHIP (.992), and 38th in K/9 (8.1) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Twins Starter Sonny Gray

• Gray (6-3) will take the mound for the Twins, his 16th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the San Diego Padres on Saturday.
• The 32-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with an ERA of 3.41 and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .227.
• In 15 starts this season, he’s earned five quality starts.
• Gray has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Blue Jays are batting .264 this season, first in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .435 (fourth in the league) with 133 home runs.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Blue Jays have won 49 out of the 85 games, or 57.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, Toronto has won 42 of its 74 games, or 56.8%, when favored by at least -125 on the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays have a 55.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of their 103 games with a total this season.
• The Blue Jays are 47-56-0 against the spread in their 103 chances this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have been victorious in 16, or 39%, of the 41 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Minnesota has a win-loss record of 11-16 when favored by +105 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Minnesota and their opponents have gone over in 49 of their 105 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Twins have an against the spread record of 51-54-0 in 105 games with a line this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has put up a team-high 21 home runs and 63 runs batted in.
• Guerrero’s home runs place him 17th in MLB, and he ranks 17th in RBI.
• Guerrero has collected a hit in 14 straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .395 with five doubles, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
• George Springer has 14 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 35 walks while batting .251.
• Springer is 34th in homers and 65th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Alejandro Kirk is batting .305 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 37 walks.
• Whit Merrifield has 23 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 30 walks while hitting .240.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .329.
• Arraez’s home run total places him 197th in the majors, and he is 153rd in RBI.
• Arraez brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .273 with a home run and an RBI.
• Jorge Polanco has totaled 49 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Polanco is currently 58th in homers and 59th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 26 long balls.
• Carlos Correa is batting .266 with 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 36 walks.