Braves vs. Cardinals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/5/2022

by | Jul 5, 2022

The Atlanta Braves (47-34) are set to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (44-38) Tuesday at 7:20 PM ET. The Braves are listed as -148 favorites by bookmakers, while the underdog Cardinals have +126 odds for the contest. Atlanta’s Ian Anderson gets the start, and he’ll go against St. Louis’ Andre Pallante.

Braves vs. Cardinals Spread and Betting Line

Braves vs Cardinals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Braves -148 +126 9.5 -112 -108 -1.5 +131 -157

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Cardinals

After digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Cardinals on the moneyline at +126. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: St. Louis Cardinals (+126) and Under (9.5)

Braves vs. Cardinals Game Info

  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Ian Anderson
  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Andre Pallante
  • Game Day: Tuesday, July 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Anderson Pallante
15 GS 5
6-5 W-L 2-3
5.31 ERA 2.10
76.1 IP 55.2
37 BB 22
66 SO 33

Braves Starter Ian Anderson

  • Anderson (6-5 with a 5.31 ERA and 66 strikeouts in 76 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Braves, his 16th of the season.
  • The righty’s last time out came on Thursday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw 2 2/3 innings, surrendering seven earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • In 15 games this season, the 24-year-old has a 5.31 ERA and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .267 to opposing hitters.
  • Anderson has four quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Anderson enters this game with 11 outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
  • He meets a Cardinals offense that ranks third in the league with 386 runs while batting .253 as a unit. It has a collective .409 slugging percentage (10th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 90 home runs (13th in MLB).

Cardinals Starter Andre Pallante

  • The Cardinals’ Pallante (2-3) will make his sixth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in 7 2/3 innings pitched against the Miami Marlins on Wednesday.
  • The 23-year-old has pitched to a 2.10 ERA this season with 5.3 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.6 walks per nine across 23 games.
  • He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
  • Pallante has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Braves rank 10th in MLB with a .248 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks first in the league (.441) and 122 home runs.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Braves have been favored 58 times and won 38, or 65.5%, of those games.
  • Atlanta has a record of 28-12 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -148 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 59.7%.
  • Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 40 of their 80 chances.
  • The Braves are 40-40-0 ATS in their 80 games with a spread this season.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 40 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (45%) in those games.
  • St. Louis has a mark of 1-10 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +126 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 44.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with St. Louis have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 40 of 83 chances this season.
  • The Cardinals are 45-37-0 against the spread in their 82 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Dansby Swanson paces the Braves with 49 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .301.
  • Including all MLB batters, Swanson ranks 17th in batting average, 32nd in on-base percentage, and 21st in slugging.
  • Matt Olson has 31 doubles, 12 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .252.
  • Olson ranks 51st in home runs and 25th in RBI on the year.
  • Olson has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with two walks and three RBI.
  • Austin Riley has hit a team-best 20 home runs.
  • Marcell Ozuna has nine doubles, 16 home runs and 21 walks while batting .227.
  • Ozuna is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .300 with two home runs and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Dansby Swanson 81 .301 .358 .503 14 49 92
Matt Olson 81 .252 .347 .469 12 46 78
Austin Riley 79 .260 .329 .519 20 48 80
Marcell Ozuna 77 .227 .280 .418 16 34 68
Travis d’Arnaud 55 .264 .309 .481 11 36 57

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Paul Goldschmidt paces the Cardinals in home runs (19), runs batted in (65) and has put up a team-best batting average of .340.
  • Goldschmidt is 12th in homers and second in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Nolan Arenado is batting .292 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 27 walks.
  • Arenado ranks 15th in home runs and 10th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
  • Tommy Edman has 12 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 30 walks while batting .266.
  • Brendan Donovan is batting .295 with 14 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 29 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Paul Goldschmidt 78 .340 .422 .620 19 65 101
Nolan Arenado 78 .292 .353 .537 17 55 87
Tommy Edman 80 .266 .335 .389 7 32 84
Brendan Donovan 61 .295 .405 .411 2 26 56
Dylan Carlson 63 .255 .318 .418 5 23 56

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